Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$12.93 -3.36% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.83

Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.36B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.83 (-0.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) β€’ 5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.6% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk C-
Cash (18)Whales (6)SEC (12)Macro (12)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$21 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE HLF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HLF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY HLF SCORES 65/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5% FCF Margin ($252.9M FCF) & 77.9% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$13.03+12% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$14.60-8.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$13.39-3.4% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$12.93+1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (73) β†’ C (65)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HLF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, HLF faces multiple-compression risk if 5.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 75.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.71) or 200D SMA ($14.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.34) toward Bear Floor ($10.41).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HLFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œHLF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

HLF Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (HLF)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on HLF. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HLF Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.11%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $13.01H $13.26L $12.83C $12.93VOL 1.52M
RES: $15.26SUP: $9.86SMA50: $12.71SMA200: $14.01
$17.44$15.53$13.63$11.72$9.82RES $15.26SUP $9.86$12.932026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HLF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HLF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HLF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HLF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HLF)

Health Care Rank #136 of 1016 βš”οΈ NUS vs HLF Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (HLF vs. NUS, ZSTK, ESYN, CAH)

Industry: Other Pharmaceuticals (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) ranks #136 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #320 by equity capitalization ($1.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HLF leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while HLF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.4% ROIC and 77.9% gross margin. CAH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with HLF at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HLF ACTIVE
Herbalife Ltd.
C 65/100 5.9x 77.9% 34.4% -3.36% $1.36B Benchmark Subject
NUS
Nu Skin Enterprises Inc.
C 62/100 β€” 69.4% 6.7% -1.47% $228.3M /nus-vs-hlf β†’
ZSTK
ZeroStack Corp.
E 31/100 β€” 4.6% -35.0% -0.34% $63.9M /zstk-vs-hlf β†’
ESYN
EnerSyn Global Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” 53.0% -35.0% +3.10% $54.4M /esyn-vs-hlf β†’
CAH
Cardinal Health Inc.
B 74/100 37.2x 3.7% 29.7% +2.59% $58.14B /cah-vs-hlf β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001180262

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) reported GAAP revenue of $5.04B (+0.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.99B , and -0.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $228.3M, operating cash flow of $333.3M, and free cash flow of $252.9M (+54.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, HLF closed FY2025 with $2.79B in total assets against $1.97B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.39, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.04B $228.3M $333.3M $252.9M $2.79B $1.97B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.99B $254.3M $285.4M $163.4M $2.73B $1.98B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.06B $142.2M $357.5M $357.5M β€” β€”

3. HLF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE: HLF) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $12.93 (-3.36% 1D, market cap $1.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, HLF ranks #136 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HLF compare to NUS and ZSTK in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Other Pharmaceuticals), HLF carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 77.9%, and ROIC of 34.4%. By comparison, NUS (Nu Skin Enterprises Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.7%, cap $228.3M) and ZSTK (ZeroStack Corp.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $63.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HLF leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while HLF leads on capital efficiency (34.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLF?

Per HLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001180262), Herbalife Ltd. generated $5.04B in revenue (+0.9% YoY), $228.3M in net income, and $252.9M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $1.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (78% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HLF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HLF last traded at $12.93 (-3.36% on volume of 1,646,702 shares), positioning the stock +1.73% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.71) and -7.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.01). Across its 52-week range of $7.69 to $20.40, HLF sits at the 41.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.9% ($11.91 to $13.95).

HLF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are HLF insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies HLF leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

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