Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 52.5% FCF Margin ($313.2M FCF) & 55.5% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
While GTE currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.50) and Max Pain ($11.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.54.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) dropped -2.25% to $11.31, trading at 93% of its 52-week range ($3.35 – $11.94). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
CALGARY, Alberta, Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (“Gran Tierra” or the “Company”) (NYSE American:GTE) (TSX:GTE) (LSE:GTE) announces that the Company will release its 2026 third quarter financia
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTE today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) ranks #182 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #157 by equity capitalization ($400.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PNRG leads on earnings valuation at 13.7x trailing P/E, while PNRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. PNRG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GTE at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTE
ACTIVE
Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 55.5% | -35.0% | -2.25% | $400.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| REI Ring Energy Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -3.2% | +0.71% | $370.0M | /rei-vs-gte → |
| PNRG PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation | C- | 61/100 | 13.7x | 96.0% | 12.2% | +0.04% | $359.8M | /pnrg-vs-gte → |
| NUAI New Era Energy & Digital Inc. | E | 25/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -14.26% | $344.9M | /nuai-vs-gte → |
| FTW Presidio Production Company (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.10% | $324.1M | /ftw-vs-gte → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) reported GAAP revenue of $596.7M (-4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $621.8M , and -6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$193.1M, operating cash flow of $313.2M, and free cash flow of $313.2M (+30.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTE closed FY2025 with $1.59B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $596.7M | -$193.1M | $313.2M | $313.2M | $1.59B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $621.8M | $3.2M | $239.3M | $239.3M | $1.65B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $637.0M | -$6.3M | $228.0M | $228.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (NYSE: GTE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $11.31 (-2.25% 1D, market cap $400.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GTE ranks #182 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GTE carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, REI (Ring Energy Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.2%, cap $370.0M) and PNRG (PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 13.7x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $359.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PNRG leads on earnings multiple (13.7x) while PNRG leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).
Per GTE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001273441), Gran Tierra Energy Inc. generated $596.7M in revenue (-4.0% YoY), -$193.1M in net income, and $313.2M in free cash flow against $1.59B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
GTE last traded at $11.31 (-2.25% on volume of 394,529 shares), positioning the stock +7.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.50) and +36.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.26). Across its 52-week range of $3.35 to $11.94, GTE sits at the 92.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($10.46 to $12.16).
Why GTE Stock dropped -2.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.