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Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.5% Move

$11.31 -2.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.24

Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $400.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.24 (-0.59%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 52.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GTE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GTE SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 52.5% FCF Margin ($313.2M FCF) & 55.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$10.58+3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$10.90+7.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$11.73-3.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$11.31-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GTE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GTE currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.50) and Max Pain ($11.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GTE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GTE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.5% Swing Band

±$0.85 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GTE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 40/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4%

Model Bullish Setup (40/100)Model Risk Weight (60/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$596.7M	-$193.1M	$313.2M	55.5%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$621.8M	$3.2M	$239.3M	64.5%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$637.0M	-$6.3M	$228.0M	55.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GTE)

✓Walkthrough of GTE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GTE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.14%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $11.46H $11.46L $11.29C $11.31VOL 287.5K

RES: $11.98SUP: $10.81SMA50: $10.50SMA200: $8.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GTE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GTE Butterfly Map → + Track GTE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GTE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GTE)

Energy Rank #182 of 211 ⚔️ REI vs GTE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GTE vs. REI, PNRG, NUAI, FTW)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) ranks #182 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #157 by equity capitalization ($400.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PNRG leads on earnings valuation at 13.7x trailing P/E, while PNRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. PNRG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GTE at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GTE ACTIVE Gran Tierra Energy Inc.	D-	40/100	—	55.5%	-35.0%	-2.25%	$400.2M	Benchmark Subject
REI Ring Energy Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-3.2%	+0.71%	$370.0M	/rei-vs-gte →
PNRG PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation	C-	61/100	13.7x	96.0%	12.2%	+0.04%	$359.8M	/pnrg-vs-gte →
NUAI New Era Energy & Digital Inc.	E	25/100	—	—	-35.0%	-14.26%	$344.9M	/nuai-vs-gte →
FTW Presidio Production Company (Class A)	D	51/100	—	—	—	+0.10%	$324.1M	/ftw-vs-gte →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001273441

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (GTE) reported GAAP revenue of $596.7M (-4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $621.8M , and -6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$193.1M, operating cash flow of $313.2M, and free cash flow of $313.2M (+30.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTE closed FY2025 with $1.59B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$596.7M	-$193.1M	$313.2M	$313.2M	$1.59B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$621.8M	$3.2M	$239.3M	$239.3M	$1.65B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$637.0M	-$6.3M	$228.0M	$228.0M	—	—

3. GTE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GTE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (NYSE: GTE) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $11.31 (-2.25% 1D, market cap $400.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GTE ranks #182 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GTE compare to REI and PNRG in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GTE carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 55.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, REI (Ring Energy Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.2%, cap $370.0M) and PNRG (PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 13.7x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $359.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PNRG leads on earnings multiple (13.7x) while PNRG leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTE?

Per GTE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001273441), Gran Tierra Energy Inc. generated $596.7M in revenue (-4.0% YoY), -$193.1M in net income, and $313.2M in free cash flow against $1.59B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GTE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GTE last traded at $11.31 (-2.25% on volume of 394,529 shares), positioning the stock +7.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.50) and +36.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.26). Across its 52-week range of $3.35 to $11.94, GTE sits at the 92.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($10.46 to $12.16).