Why GHC Stock slipped -0.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1,162.04 -0.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,158.39

Graham Holdings Company (GHC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.92B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Graham Holdings Company (NYSE: GHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1,162.04 (-0.69% 1D, market cap $4.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, GHC ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GHC compare to LAUR and CVSA in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), GHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, LAUR (Laureate Education Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $4.96B) and CVSA (Covista Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LOPE leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHC?
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Per GHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000104889), Graham Holdings Company generated $4.91B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $292.3M in net income, and $275.3M in free cash flow against $8.40B in total assets and $705.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,158.44 (-0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$1402 Bull$1188 Base$927 Bear
📬 FREE GHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GHC SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.05 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$1,177.21+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$1,210.21-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$1,197.20-2.9% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$1,162.04+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GHC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, GHC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,161.31) or 200D SMA ($1,136.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,188.19) toward Bear Floor ($926.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GHC Stock slipped -0.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Graham Holdings Company (GHC) slipped -0.69% to $1162.04, trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($990.09 – $1262.35). Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 63% of its 52-week range ($990.09 – $1262.35) with RSI-14 at 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.6% around $1162.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $275.3M annual free cash flow.
Live GHC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Graham Corp.’s (GHM) Shares Pull Back on Margin Compression

Conestoga Capital Advisors, an asset management company, released its third-quarter 2026 investor letter. The letter can be downloaded here. Conestoga Capital Advisors released its third-quarter 2026 investor letter, out

MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Graham Holdings Company Reports Third Quarter Earnings

ARLINGTON, Va., October 29, 2026--Graham Holdings Company (NYSE: GHC) today reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2026. The Company also filed its Form 10-Q today for the quarter ended September 30, 202

RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
Luxfer (LXFR) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates

Luxfer (LXFR) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -24.24% and -2.03%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GHC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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GHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.76%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $1,170.1H $1,170.1L $1,162.0C $1,162.0VOL 28.6K
RES: $1,244.8SUP: $1,145.7SMA50: $1,161.3SMA200: $1,136.6
$1,277.8$1,213.7$1,149.5$1,085.3$1,021.1RES $1,244.8SUP $1,145.7$1,162.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GHC)

Real Estate Rank #16 of 51 ⚔️ LAUR vs GHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (GHC vs. LAUR, CVSA, TAL, LOPE)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Graham Holdings Company (GHC) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #6 by equity capitalization ($4.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while LOPE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CVSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with GHC at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GHC ACTIVE
Graham Holdings Company
C 63/100 16.8x — 3.5% -0.69% $4.92B Benchmark Subject
LAUR
Laureate Education Inc.
B+ 76/100 17.6x 28.3% 30.6% -0.96% $4.96B /laur-vs-ghc →
CVSA
Covista Inc.
B+ 78/100 18.4x 56.9% 14.8% +1.79% $4.36B /cvsa-vs-ghc →
TAL
TAL Education Group
C 63/100 10.6x 55.4% 12.4% +0.80% $5.62B /tal-vs-ghc →
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education Inc.
B+ 76/100 — — 33.1% +0.13% $4.02B /lope-vs-ghc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000104889

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Graham Holdings Company (GHC) reported GAAP revenue of $4.91B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.79B , and +11.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $292.3M, operating cash flow of $347.2M, and free cash flow of $275.3M (-15.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GHC closed FY2025 with $8.40B in total assets against $705.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.05, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.91B $292.3M $347.2M $275.3M $8.40B $705.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.79B $724.6M $407.0M $324.1M $7.68B $721.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.41B $205.3M $259.9M $259.9M — —

3. GHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Graham Holdings Company (NYSE: GHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1,162.04 (-0.69% 1D, market cap $4.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, GHC ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GHC compare to LAUR and CVSA in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), GHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, LAUR (Laureate Education Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $4.96B) and CVSA (Covista Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LOPE leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHC?

Per GHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000104889), Graham Holdings Company generated $4.91B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $292.3M in net income, and $275.3M in free cash flow against $8.40B in total assets and $705.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GHC last traded at $1,162.04 (-0.69% on volume of 28,551 shares), positioning the stock +0.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1,161.31) and +2.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1,136.62). Across its 52-week range of $990.09 to $1,262.35, GHC sits at the 63.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($1,108.59 to $1,215.49).

GHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is GHC stock moving today?

Why GHC Stock slipped -0.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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