Stock Ratings / Materials / GEVO / forecast

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Gevo Inc. (GEVO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.21 -0.82% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Gevo Inc. (GEVO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $299.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEVO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GEVO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.21: 8264.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.82

$6,777

$-3,223 (-32.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.05

$8,678

$-1,322 (-13.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.12

$25,785

+$15,785 (+157.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$3	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEVO)

✓Walkthrough of GEVO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GEVO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.65%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.20H $1.26L $1.19C $1.21VOL 2.95M

RES: $1.52SUP: $1.04SMA50: $1.41SMA200: $1.72

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GEVO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GEVO Butterfly Map → + Track GEVO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEVO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEVO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEVO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEVO)

Materials Rank #260 of 270 ⚔️ OEC vs GEVO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (GEVO vs. OEC, ALTO, ASPI, NL)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gevo Inc. (GEVO) ranks #260 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #202 by equity capitalization ($299.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEVO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.4% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. OEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with GEVO at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GEVO ACTIVE Gevo Inc.	E	29/100	—	—	-2.9%	-0.82%	$299.2M	Benchmark Subject
OEC Orion S.A.	D+	52/100	—	19.9%	2.2%	+1.28%	$313.1M	/oec-vs-gevo →
ALTO Alto Ingredients Inc.	D	48/100	—	3.8%	2.0%	-0.27%	$283.1M	/alto-vs-gevo →
ASPI ASP Isotopes Inc.	D-	38/100	—	14.3%	-35.0%	+4.93%	$326.5M	/aspi-vs-gevo →
NL NLI Holdings Inc.	D	44/100	—	30.4%	3.4%	-0.71%	$341.8M	/nl-vs-gevo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001392380

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gevo Inc. (GEVO) reported GAAP revenue of $160.6M (+849.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $16.9M , and +833.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$33.8M, operating cash flow of -$13.4M, and free cash flow of -$43.5M (+59.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEVO closed FY2025 with $718.9M in total assets against $164.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$160.6M	-$33.8M	-$13.4M	-$43.5M	$718.9M	$164.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$16.9M	-$78.6M	-$57.4M	-$108.5M	$583.9M	$67.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$17.2M	-$66.2M	-$53.7M	-$53.7M	—	—

3. GEVO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GEVO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gevo Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.21 (-0.82% 1D, market cap $299.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, GEVO ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GEVO compare to OEC and ALTO in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), GEVO carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, OEC (Orion S.A.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $313.1M) and ALTO (Alto Ingredients Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $283.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEVO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NL leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEVO?

Per GEVO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001392380), Gevo Inc. generated $160.6M in revenue (+849.3% YoY), -$33.8M in net income, and -$43.5M in free cash flow against $718.9M in total assets and $164.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GEVO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GEVO last traded at $1.21 (-0.82% on volume of 1,863,237 shares), positioning the stock -14.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.41) and -29.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.72). Across its 52-week range of $1.09 to $2.97, GEVO sits at the 6.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($1.07 to $1.35).

GEVO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GEVO's 12-month stock price target?

Gevo Inc. (GEVO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.05 (-13.2% from $1.21), with a bull-case target of $3.12 and a bear-case floor of $0.82.