Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.95 -0.60% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.94

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $69.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GECC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GECC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Great Elm Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: GECC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $4.95 (-0.60% 1D, market cap $69.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GECC ranks #804 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GECC compare to UPXI and BCIC in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GECC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, UPXI (Upexi Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.3%, cap $72.3M) and BCIC (BCP Investment Corporation) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $76.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCIC leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while BCIC leads on capital efficiency (5.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GECC?
▼

Per GECC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001675033), Great Elm Capital Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$2.8M in free cash flow against $340.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.94 (-0.30%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.5% Base Target
$9 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE GECC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GECC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GECC SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$5.00-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$4.97-4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$4.75+4.2% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$4.95-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GECC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GECC currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.38) and Max Pain ($5.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GECC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GECC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GECC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GECC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GECC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.84%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $5.00H $5.01L $4.90C $4.95VOL 54.3K
RES: $5.99SUP: $4.68SMA50: $5.38SMA200: $5.67
$8.11$7.19$6.26$5.34$4.41RES $5.99SUP $4.68$4.952026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GECC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GECC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GECC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GECC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GECC)

Financials Rank #804 of 1096 ⚔️ UPXI vs GECC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GECC vs. UPXI, BCIC, SUIG, BTCS)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) ranks #804 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #1000 by equity capitalization ($69.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCIC leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while BCIC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.5% ROIC and — gross margin. BCIC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with GECC at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GECC ACTIVE
Great Elm Capital Corp.
D 46/100 — — — -0.60% $69.2M Benchmark Subject
UPXI
Upexi Inc.
E 33/100 — — -20.3% -7.39% $72.3M /upxi-vs-gecc →
BCIC
BCP Investment Corporation
C- 59/100 6.6x — 5.5% -3.26% $76.0M /bcic-vs-gecc →
SUIG
Sui Group Holdings Limited
E 23/100 — — -35.0% -2.83% $81.4M /suig-vs-gecc →
BTCS
BTCS Inc.
E 25/100 — — -23.9% -6.31% $58.2M /btcs-vs-gecc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001675033

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$2.8M, and free cash flow of -$2.8M (+96.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GECC closed FY2025 with $340.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 -$2.8M -$2.8M $340.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $0 -$82.7M -$82.7M $342.0M —

3. GECC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GECC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Great Elm Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: GECC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $4.95 (-0.60% 1D, market cap $69.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GECC ranks #804 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GECC compare to UPXI and BCIC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GECC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, UPXI (Upexi Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.3%, cap $72.3M) and BCIC (BCP Investment Corporation) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $76.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCIC leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while BCIC leads on capital efficiency (5.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GECC?

Per GECC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001675033), Great Elm Capital Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$2.8M in free cash flow against $340.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GECC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GECC last traded at $4.95 (-0.60% on volume of 54,317 shares), positioning the stock -7.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.38) and -12.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.67). Across its 52-week range of $4.63 to $8.14, GECC sits at the 9.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($4.71 to $5.19).

GECC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does GECC pay a dividend and is it safe?

Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GECC — Great Elm Capital Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GECC scores 46 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows. The fundamental cash engine scores 10 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of -4.07%, which means the company is not currently generating a return on capital or positive free cash flow in the source data. Whale 13F flow scores 9 of 20, indicating limited institutional accumulation and options positioning support. Insider conviction scores 5 of 20, the lowest pillar, reflecting weak SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro regime fit scores 12 of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity that does not provide a clear tailwind. Forensic balance sheet scores 10 of 20, reflecting an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 1 of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the practical implication is that the rating's upside case depends on factors the source data does not show improving: positive cash generation, institutional accumulation, or insider buying. The valuation tradeoff is that without reported earnings per share or P/E figures, the stock cannot be benchmarked on earnings, so the investor is relying on price action and the qualitative pillar scores. The weakest pillars (insider conviction and cash engine) are the ones most directly tied to whether the equity is being supported from within. This brief is educational and not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-2.8M$1.8MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-82.7M$0.0MN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are $0.0M in both periods, and EPS is N/A. Free cash flow was negative in both periods, at $-2.8M for FY 2025 and $-82.7M for FY 2024. Cash was $1.8M at FY 2025 and $0.0M at FY 2024. Per the Roarable RQD rating and market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, ROIC is 0%, and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 with a Piotroski F-Score of 1 of 9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the forensic balance sheet pillar. Per the source, the balance sheet posture is weak on the Piotroski measure, while the Altman Z-Score sits in the source's reported range without interpretation provided.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are listed, all tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines reference a Yahoo Finance report on investor undervaluation questions, a Daily Tribune News item on scheduling a Third Quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call, a Benzinga transcript of a Q2 2026 earnings conference call, a MarketBeat stock profile, a Quiver Quantitative notice on announcing Third Quarter 2026 financial results, and a MarketBeat note that earnings are expected on Tuesday. The key near-term catalyst is the Third Quarter 2026 earnings release. The YELLOW classification across all items signals caution rather than a directional call. Risk watch items include the absence of reported EPS and the negative free cash flow history. The butterfly supply-chain graph shows the supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported EPS and net income figures, given that the financials show $0.0M net income and N/A EPS for both periods?
  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue sources, since the business description is not provided beyond sector classification?
  • Why is the debt figure N/A in both periods, and what is the actual capital structure behind the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • What specific insider, 13F, and Congressional trades underlie the insider conviction and whale flow pillar scores?
  • What were the results of the Third Quarter 2026 earnings release, and how do they compare with the negative free cash flow trend?

GECC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Great Elm Capital Corp. (GECC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GECC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GECC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.95?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GECC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GECC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $5.35 (+8.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GECC (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $4.95?

Welcome to the GECC (Great Elm Capital Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.16 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $4.95

Pump the brakes on GECC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GECC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Great Elm Capital Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.64 (+13.9%)
Spot @ $4.95

GECC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GECC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.95 (52-wk range $4.63 - $8.14), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%