Why GCT Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$60.62 -0.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.76

GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.16B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: GCT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $60.62 (-0.02% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GCT ranks #83 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GCT compare to CNXN and RVLV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), GCT carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of 23.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.16B) and RVLV (Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $1.64B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCT?
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Per GCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001857816), GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) generated $1.29B in revenue (+11.1% YoY), $137.4M in net income, and $182.8M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.77 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 14.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510075
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B-
Cash (19)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target
$77 Bull$65 Base$50 Bear
📬 FREE GCT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GCT SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.2% FCF Margin ($182.8M FCF) & 23.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$57.26+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$57.35+1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$58.24+4.1% Next Q
Current
75
Grade B$60.62+7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GCT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, GCT faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($54.37) or 200D SMA ($43.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.26) toward Bear Floor ($49.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GCT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GCT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GCT Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) slipped -0.02% to $60.62, trading at 96% of its 52-week range ($25.39 – $62.03). High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 96% of its 52-week range ($25.39 – $62.03) with RSI-14 at 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.9% around $60.62 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 23.3% gross margin and $182.8M annual free cash flow.
Live GCT Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 8d ago
Why GigaCloud Technology (GCT) Is Getting Attention Today

GigaCloud Technology (GCT) just drew fresh attention after ranking No. 13 on Fortune's Fastest Growing Companies 2026 list and No. 12 on TIME's America's Growth Leaders 2027 list, spotlighting its global B2B marketplace

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GCT Tape Review)

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GCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +36.26%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $59.54H $60.62L $56.61C $60.62VOL 901.8K
RES: $62.86SUP: $58.12SMA50: $54.37SMA200: $43.95
$64.20$55.22$46.25$37.27$28.29RES $62.86SUP $58.12$60.622026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #83 of 1011 ⚔️ CNXN vs GCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GCT vs. CNXN, RVLV, PTRN, LUXE)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) ranks #83 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #405 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. RVLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with GCT at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GCT ACTIVE
GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)
B 75/100 15.8x 23.3% 85.0% -0.02% $2.16B Benchmark Subject
CNXN
PC Connection Inc.
C 62/100 25.8x 18.8% 10.9% -1.02% $2.16B /cnxn-vs-gct →
RVLV
Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)
B+ 80/100 26.6x 53.5% 26.6% +2.21% $1.64B /rvlv-vs-gct →
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)
B- 70/100 — 43.6% 6.9% +1.08% $3.00B /ptrn-vs-gct →
LUXE
LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share
C- 61/100 — — — +5.99% $1.33B /luxe-vs-gct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001857816

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (+11.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.16B , and +83.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $137.4M, operating cash flow of $190.7M, and free cash flow of $182.8M (+28.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCT closed FY2025 with $1.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.10, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.29B $137.4M $190.7M $182.8M $1.20B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.16B $125.8M $158.1M $142.5M $1.07B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $703.8M $94.1M $133.5M $133.5M — —

3. GCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: GCT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $60.62 (-0.02% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GCT ranks #83 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GCT compare to CNXN and RVLV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), GCT carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of 23.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.16B) and RVLV (Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $1.64B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCT?

Per GCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001857816), GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) generated $1.29B in revenue (+11.1% YoY), $137.4M in net income, and $182.8M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GCT last traded at $60.62 (-0.02% on volume of 480,371 shares), positioning the stock +11.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($54.37) and +37.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.95). Across its 52-week range of $25.39 to $62.03, GCT sits at the 96.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($55.22 to $66.02).

GCT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is GCT stock moving today?

Why GCT Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

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