Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GCT / financials

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GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$60.62 -0.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.76

GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.16B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.77 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 14.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GCT SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.2% FCF Margin ($182.8M FCF) & 23.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$57.26+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$57.35+1.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$58.24+4.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B$60.62+7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GCT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, GCT faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($54.37) or 200D SMA ($43.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.26) toward Bear Floor ($49.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GCT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GCT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 75%NO 25%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How GCT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$182.8M (14.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $703.8M

FY24

Rev $1.16B

FY25

Rev $1.29B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.29B	23.3%	11.2%	$137.4M	$182.8M	95%
FY 2024	$1.16B	24.6%	11.3%	$125.8M	$142.5M	70.9%
FY 2023	$703.8M	23.3%	15.6%	$94.1M	$133.5M	85%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GCT)

✓Walkthrough of GCT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +36.26%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $59.54H $60.62L $56.61C $60.62VOL 901.8K

RES: $62.86SUP: $58.12SMA50: $54.37SMA200: $43.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GCT Butterfly Map → + Track GCT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GCT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #83 of 1011 ⚔️ CNXN vs GCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GCT vs. CNXN, RVLV, PTRN, LUXE)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) ranks #83 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #405 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. RVLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with GCT at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GCT ACTIVE GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)	B	75/100	15.8x	23.3%	85.0%	-0.02%	$2.16B	Benchmark Subject
CNXN PC Connection Inc.	C	62/100	25.8x	18.8%	10.9%	-1.02%	$2.16B	/cnxn-vs-gct →
RVLV Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)	B+	80/100	26.6x	53.5%	26.6%	+2.21%	$1.64B	/rvlv-vs-gct →
PTRN Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)	B-	70/100	—	43.6%	6.9%	+1.08%	$3.00B	/ptrn-vs-gct →
LUXE LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+5.99%	$1.33B	/luxe-vs-gct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001857816

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (+11.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.16B , and +83.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $137.4M, operating cash flow of $190.7M, and free cash flow of $182.8M (+28.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GCT closed FY2025 with $1.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.10, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.29B	$137.4M	$190.7M	$182.8M	$1.20B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.16B	$125.8M	$158.1M	$142.5M	$1.07B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$703.8M	$94.1M	$133.5M	$133.5M	—	—

3. GCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: GCT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $60.62 (-0.02% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GCT ranks #83 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GCT compare to CNXN and RVLV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), GCT carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of 23.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, CNXN (PC Connection Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.16B) and RVLV (Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $1.64B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GCT?

Per GCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001857816), GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) generated $1.29B in revenue (+11.1% YoY), $137.4M in net income, and $182.8M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GCT last traded at $60.62 (-0.02% on volume of 480,371 shares), positioning the stock +11.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($54.37) and +37.93% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.95). Across its 52-week range of $25.39 to $62.03, GCT sits at the 96.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($55.22 to $66.02).

GCT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) (GCT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), GCT converted $1.3B of revenue into a 23.3% gross margin, 11.2% operating margin, and $182.8M in free cash flow (14.2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: GCT RQD Cockpit GCT 12M Forecast GCT Earnings & Move GCT Dividends & DRIP GCT Insiders & 13F GCT Whale Options GCT Profit Sankey GCT News & Why