MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why GBX Stock surged +2.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$38.53 +2.80% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.82
Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (19% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $1.19B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.82 (+0.74%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GBX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GBX SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$38.43+1.8% Next Q
65
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$39.11-2.6% Next Q
68
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$38.09+1.2% Next Q
70
CurrentGrade B$38.53+7.1% Hist 90D α
73
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GBX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 73/100 (B) score, GBX faces multiple-compression risk if 5.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.36) or 200D SMA ($48.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.13) toward Bear Floor ($31.59).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GBX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GBX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why GBX Stock surged +2.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) surged +2.80% to $38.53, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($36.35 – $59.19). High-quality cash engine (19% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($36.35 – $59.19) with RSI-14 at 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $38.53 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 18.7% gross margin and $265.7M annual free cash flow.
Live GBX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GBX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GBX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.56%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $38.54H $39.19L $38.14C $38.53VOL 464.6K
RES: $53.96SUP: $35.36SMA50: $41.36SMA200: $48.17
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
GBX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GBX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GBX)
Industrials Rank #40 of 485
⚔️ TRN vs GBX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GBX vs. TRN, FIP, RAIL, WAB)
Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #237 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. GBX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBX
ACTIVE
Greenbrier Companies Inc. | B | 73/100 | 5.9x | 18.7% | 24.1% | +2.80% | $1.19B | Benchmark Subject |
| TRN Trinity Industries Inc. | B | 73/100 | 8.1x | — | 58.6% | +10.80% | $2.26B | /trn-vs-gbx → |
| FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | — | +2.13% | $339.2M | /fip-vs-gbx → |
| RAIL FreightCar America Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | 14.6% | 27.5% | -0.12% | $137.1M | /rail-vs-gbx → |
| WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | C | 64/100 | 41.0x | 34.1% | 11.1% | +1.20% | $47.92B | /wab-vs-gbx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000923120In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) reported GAAP revenue of $3.24B (-8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.54B , and -17.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $204.1M, operating cash flow of $265.7M, and free cash flow of $265.7M (-19.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBX closed FY2025 with $4.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-08-31 | $3.24B | $204.1M | $265.7M | $265.7M | $4.30B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-08-31 | $3.54B | $160.1M | $329.6M | $329.6M | $4.29B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-08-31 | $3.94B | $62.5M | $71.2M | $71.2M | — | — |
3. GBX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GBX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE: GBX) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $38.53 (+2.80% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GBX ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GBX compare to TRN and FIP in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), GBX carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 18.7%, and ROIC of 24.1%. By comparison, TRN (Trinity Industries Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 58.6%, cap $2.26B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBX?
Per GBX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000923120), Greenbrier Companies Inc. generated $3.24B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), $204.1M in net income, and $265.7M in free cash flow against $4.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GBX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GBX last traded at $38.53 (+2.80% on volume of 628,597 shares), positioning the stock -6.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.36) and -20.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($48.17). Across its 52-week range of $36.35 to $59.19, GBX sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($36.06 to $41.00).
GBX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GBX stock moving today?
Why GBX Stock surged +2.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (19% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support.