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Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$38.53 +2.80% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.82

Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (19% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.19B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.82 (+0.74%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GBX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GBX SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$38.43+1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$39.11-2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$38.09+1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B$38.53+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GBX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, GBX faces multiple-compression risk if 5.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($41.36) or 200D SMA ($48.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.13) toward Bear Floor ($31.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GBX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GBX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GBX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $38.53: 259.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $31.59

$8,199

$-1,801 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $41.13

$10,675

+$675 (+6.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $62.15

$16,130

+$6,130 (+61.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$43	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$58	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$36	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GBX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GBX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.56%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $38.54H $39.19L $38.14C $38.53VOL 464.6K

RES: $53.96SUP: $35.36SMA50: $41.36SMA200: $48.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GBX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GBX Butterfly Map → + Track GBX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GBX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GBX)

Industrials Rank #40 of 485 ⚔️ TRN vs GBX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GBX vs. TRN, FIP, RAIL, WAB)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #237 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBX leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while TRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.6% ROIC and — gross margin. GBX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GBX ACTIVE Greenbrier Companies Inc.	B	73/100	5.9x	18.7%	24.1%	+2.80%	$1.19B	Benchmark Subject
TRN Trinity Industries Inc.	B	73/100	8.1x	—	58.6%	+10.80%	$2.26B	/trn-vs-gbx →
FIP FTAI Infrastructure Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	—	+2.13%	$339.2M	/fip-vs-gbx →
RAIL FreightCar America Inc.	D	51/100	—	14.6%	27.5%	-0.12%	$137.1M	/rail-vs-gbx →
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation	C	64/100	41.0x	34.1%	11.1%	+1.20%	$47.92B	/wab-vs-gbx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000923120

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) reported GAAP revenue of $3.24B (-8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.54B , and -17.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $204.1M, operating cash flow of $265.7M, and free cash flow of $265.7M (-19.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBX closed FY2025 with $4.30B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-08-31	$3.24B	$204.1M	$265.7M	$265.7M	$4.30B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-08-31	$3.54B	$160.1M	$329.6M	$329.6M	$4.29B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-08-31	$3.94B	$62.5M	$71.2M	$71.2M	—	—

3. GBX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GBX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (NYSE: GBX) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $38.53 (+2.80% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GBX ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GBX compare to TRN and FIP in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), GBX carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 18.7%, and ROIC of 24.1%. By comparison, TRN (Trinity Industries Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 58.6%, cap $2.26B) and FIP (FTAI Infrastructure Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $339.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBX leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while TRN leads on capital efficiency (58.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBX?

Per GBX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000923120), Greenbrier Companies Inc. generated $3.24B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), $204.1M in net income, and $265.7M in free cash flow against $4.30B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GBX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GBX last traded at $38.53 (+2.80% on volume of 628,597 shares), positioning the stock -6.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.36) and -20.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($48.17). Across its 52-week range of $36.35 to $59.19, GBX sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($36.06 to $41.00).

GBX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GBX's 12-month stock price target?

Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $41.13 (+6.7% from $38.53), with a bull-case target of $62.15 and a bear-case floor of $31.59.

Is GBX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GBX B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 73/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: GBX RQD Cockpit GBX 12M Forecast GBX Earnings & Move GBX Dividends & DRIP GBX Insiders & 13F GBX Whale Options GBX Profit Sankey GBX News & Why