Stock Ratings / Energy / GBR / financials

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New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.67 -0.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.67

New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.67 (-0.26%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GBR SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$0.72+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$0.72-6.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$0.67+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$0.67-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GBR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GBR currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.73) and Max Pain ($0.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GBR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How GBR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$20.0K (2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $152.0K

FY24

Rev $146.0K

FY25

Rev $155.0K

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$155.0K	52%	-80%	-$46.0K	$20.0K	-5.1%
FY 2024	$146.0K	52%	-80%	-$18.0K	-$64.0K	-4.5%
FY 2023	$152.0K	52%	-80%	-$21.0K	$22.0K	-5.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GBR)

✓Walkthrough of GBR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.29%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $0.65H $0.67L $0.62C $0.67VOL 104.8K

RES: $0.98SUP: $0.63SMA50: $0.73SMA200: $0.77

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GBR Butterfly Map → + Track GBR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GBR)

Energy Rank #136 of 211 ⚔️ MTR vs GBR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GBR vs. MTR, TPET, BRN, EONR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) ranks #136 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #210 by equity capitalization ($4.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.5% ROIC and — gross margin. GBR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GBR ACTIVE New Concept Energy Inc	D+	52/100	—	—	-5.1%	-0.39%	$4.8M	Benchmark Subject
MTR Mesa Royalty Trust	D	50/100	—	—	—	-3.05%	$3.6M	/mtr-vs-gbr →
TPET Trio Petroleum Corp.	E	32/100	—	55.9%	-34.2%	-2.76%	$9.4M	/tpet-vs-gbr →
BRN Barnwell Industries Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	0.5%	-2.78%	$12.6M	/brn-vs-gbr →
EONR EON Resources Inc. (Class A)	E	27/100	—	—	-14.8%	-7.37%	$20.2M	/eonr-vs-gbr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000105744

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) reported GAAP revenue of $155.0K (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $146.0K , and +2.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$46.0K, operating cash flow of $20.0K, and free cash flow of $20.0K (+131.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBR closed FY2025 with $4.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$155.0K	-$46.0K	$20.0K	$20.0K	$4.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$146.0K	-$18.0K	-$64.0K	-$64.0K	$4.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$152.0K	-$21.0K	$22.0K	$22.0K	—	—

3. GBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, New Concept Energy Inc (NYSE: GBR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $0.67 (-0.39% 1D, market cap $4.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GBR ranks #136 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GBR compare to MTR and TPET in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GBR carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.1%. By comparison, MTR (Mesa Royalty Trust) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.6M) and TPET (Trio Petroleum Corp.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.2%, cap $9.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BRN leads on capital efficiency (0.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBR?

Per GBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000105744), New Concept Energy Inc generated $155.0K in revenue (+6.2% YoY), -$46.0K in net income, and $20.0K in free cash flow against $4.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GBR last traded at $0.67 (-0.39% on volume of 48,488 shares), positioning the stock -8.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.73) and -12.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.77). Across its 52-week range of $0.62 to $1.31, GBR sits at the 7.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.75).

GBR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is New Concept Energy Inc (GBR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), GBR converted $1.0M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $20000 in free cash flow (2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: GBR RQD Cockpit GBR 12M Forecast GBR Earnings & Move GBR Dividends & DRIP GBR Insiders & 13F GBR Whale Options GBR Profit Sankey GBR News & Why