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New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.67 -0.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.67

New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.67 (-0.26%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GBR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GBR SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$0.72+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$0.72-6.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$0.67+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$0.67-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GBR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GBR currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.73) and Max Pain ($0.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.38.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GBR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GBR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.08 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GBR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 52/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6.2%

Model Bullish Setup (52/100)Model Risk Weight (48/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$155.0K	-$46.0K	$20.0K	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$146.0K	-$18.0K	-$64.0K	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$152.0K	-$21.0K	$22.0K	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GBR)

✓Walkthrough of GBR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GBR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.29%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $0.65H $0.67L $0.62C $0.67VOL 104.8K

RES: $0.98SUP: $0.63SMA50: $0.73SMA200: $0.77

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GBR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GBR Butterfly Map → + Track GBR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GBR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GBR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GBR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GBR)

Energy Rank #136 of 211 ⚔️ MTR vs GBR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (GBR vs. MTR, TPET, BRN, EONR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) ranks #136 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #210 by equity capitalization ($4.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GBR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BRN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.5% ROIC and — gross margin. GBR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GBR ACTIVE New Concept Energy Inc	D+	52/100	—	—	-5.1%	-0.39%	$4.8M	Benchmark Subject
MTR Mesa Royalty Trust	D	50/100	—	—	—	-3.05%	$3.6M	/mtr-vs-gbr →
TPET Trio Petroleum Corp.	E	32/100	—	55.9%	-34.2%	-2.76%	$9.4M	/tpet-vs-gbr →
BRN Barnwell Industries Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	0.5%	-2.78%	$12.6M	/brn-vs-gbr →
EONR EON Resources Inc. (Class A)	E	27/100	—	—	-14.8%	-7.37%	$20.2M	/eonr-vs-gbr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000105744

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), New Concept Energy Inc (GBR) reported GAAP revenue of $155.0K (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $146.0K , and +2.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$46.0K, operating cash flow of $20.0K, and free cash flow of $20.0K (+131.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GBR closed FY2025 with $4.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$155.0K	-$46.0K	$20.0K	$20.0K	$4.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$146.0K	-$18.0K	-$64.0K	-$64.0K	$4.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$152.0K	-$21.0K	$22.0K	$22.0K	—	—

3. GBR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GBR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, New Concept Energy Inc (NYSE: GBR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $0.67 (-0.39% 1D, market cap $4.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, GBR ranks #136 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GBR compare to MTR and TPET in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), GBR carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -5.1%. By comparison, MTR (Mesa Royalty Trust) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.6M) and TPET (Trio Petroleum Corp.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.2%, cap $9.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GBR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BRN leads on capital efficiency (0.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GBR?

Per GBR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000105744), New Concept Energy Inc generated $155.0K in revenue (+6.2% YoY), -$46.0K in net income, and $20.0K in free cash flow against $4.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GBR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GBR last traded at $0.67 (-0.39% on volume of 48,488 shares), positioning the stock -8.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.73) and -12.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.77). Across its 52-week range of $0.62 to $1.31, GBR sits at the 7.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.75).

GBR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GBR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, New Concept Energy Inc (GBR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is GBR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for GBR, spanning a range between $1 and $0.75.

Direct Sub-Reports: GBR RQD Cockpit GBR 12M Forecast GBR Earnings & Move GBR Dividends & DRIP GBR Insiders & 13F GBR Whale Options GBR Profit Sankey GBR News & Why