Stock Ratings / Technology / FTCI / dividends

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FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

Q: Does FTCI pay a dividend and is it safe?

FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

$1.36 +2.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.36

FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $24.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.36 (+0.22%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FTCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FTCI SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.93-16.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.61-8.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.48-8.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.36-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FTCI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FTCI currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.04) and Max Pain ($1.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.39.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FTCI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FTCI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $45,269

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $815/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.6K

Yr 1

$13.5K

Yr 2

$15.7K

Yr 3

$18.3K

Yr 4

$21.3K

Yr 5

$24.7K

Yr 6

$28.8K

Yr 7

$33.5K

Yr 8

$38.9K

Yr 9

$45.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FTCI)

✓Walkthrough of FTCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FTCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -72.69%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $1.30H $1.43L $1.30C $1.36VOL 171.8K

RES: $1.50SUP: $1.20SMA50: $2.04SMA200: $4.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FTCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FTCI Butterfly Map → + Track FTCI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +110.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FTCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FTCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FTCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FTCI)

Technology Rank #595 of 714 ⚔️ SNSC vs FTCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (FTCI vs. SNSC, LEDS, ASTI, SQNS)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) ranks #595 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #601 by equity capitalization ($24.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FTCI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while FTCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and -0.9% gross margin. SNSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with FTCI at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FTCI ACTIVE FTC Solar Inc.	D-	37/100	—	-0.9%	-35.0%	+2.26%	$24.9M	Benchmark Subject
SNSC SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)	D+	55/100	—	—	—	-10.11%	$29.4M	/snsc-vs-ftci →
LEDS SemiLEDS Corporation	D	49/100	—	5.6%	-35.0%	-0.48%	$17.3M	/leds-vs-ftci →
ASTI Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.30%	$16.7M	/asti-vs-ftci →
SQNS Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )	D+	52/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$38.0M	/sqns-vs-ftci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001828161

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) reported GAAP revenue of $99.7M (+110.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $47.4M , and -21.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$79.6M, operating cash flow of -$33.4M, and free cash flow of -$34.6M (+4.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, FTCI closed FY2025 with $111.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$99.7M	-$79.6M	-$33.4M	-$34.6M	$111.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$47.4M	-$48.6M	-$34.7M	-$36.3M	$89.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$127.0M	-$50.3M	-$52.7M	-$52.7M	—	—

3. FTCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FTCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, FTC Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FTCI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.36 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $24.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, FTCI ranks #595 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FTCI compare to SNSC and LEDS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), FTCI carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -0.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SNSC (SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $29.4M) and LEDS (SemiLEDS Corporation) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $17.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FTCI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FTCI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTCI?

Per FTCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001828161), FTC Solar Inc. generated $99.7M in revenue (+110.5% YoY), -$79.6M in net income, and -$34.6M in free cash flow against $111.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FTCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FTCI last traded at $1.36 (+2.26% on volume of 85,283 shares), positioning the stock -33.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.04) and -70.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.58). Across its 52-week range of $1.27 to $12.75, FTCI sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.19 to $1.53).

FTCI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does FTCI pay a dividend and is it safe?

FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: FTCI RQD Cockpit FTCI 12M Forecast FTCI Earnings & Move FTCI Dividends & DRIP FTCI Insiders & 13F FTCI Whale Options FTCI Profit Sankey FTCI News & Why