FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$18.94 +1.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.97

FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $363.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.97 (+0.15%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$27 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE FRPH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FRPH SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$20.04-4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$19.24-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$19.06-0.6% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$18.94-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FRPH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FRPH currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.76) and Max Pain ($19.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.03.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FRPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FRPH)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FRPH.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FRPH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FRPH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FRPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.85%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $19.07H $19.20L $18.73C $18.94VOL 107.9K
RES: $19.17SUP: $18.17SMA50: $20.76SMA200: $22.42
$26.26$24.10$21.93$19.76$17.60RES $19.17SUP $18.17$18.942026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FRPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRPH)

Financials Rank #953 of 1096 ⚔️ BOC vs FRPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FRPH vs. BOC, REAX, OPI, TRC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) ranks #953 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #774 by equity capitalization ($363.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRPH leads on earnings valuation at 114.6x trailing P/E, while FRPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and — gross margin. REAX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with FRPH at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FRPH ACTIVE
FRP Holdings Inc.
D- 43/100 114.6x — 1.3% +1.88% $363.6M Benchmark Subject
BOC
Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)
D- 41/100 — — -0.6% +1.80% $391.3M /boc-vs-frph →
REAX
Real REMAX Group Inc.
D 51/100 — — — -0.41% $316.7M /reax-vs-frph →
OPI
Office Properties Income Trust of
D- 35/100 — — -30.9% +2.62% $301.4M /opi-vs-frph →
TRC
Tejon Ranch Co
D 48/100 — — -1.3% +1.02% $452.9M /trc-vs-frph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000844059

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) reported GAAP revenue of $42.8M (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.8M , and +3.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.2M, operating cash flow of $29.7M, and free cash flow of -$21.5M (+3.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FRPH closed FY2025 with $735.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $42.8M $3.2M $29.7M -$21.5M $735.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $41.8M $6.4M $29.0M -$22.2M $728.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $41.5M $5.3M $33.0M $33.0M — —

3. FRPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FRPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, FRP Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: FRPH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $18.94 (+1.88% 1D, market cap $363.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRPH ranks #953 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FRPH compare to BOC and REAX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FRPH carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 114.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $391.3M) and REAX (Real REMAX Group Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $316.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRPH leads on earnings multiple (114.6x) while FRPH leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRPH?

Per FRPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000844059), FRP Holdings Inc. generated $42.8M in revenue (+2.6% YoY), $3.2M in net income, and -$21.5M in free cash flow against $735.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FRPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FRPH last traded at $18.94 (+1.88% on volume of 91,400 shares), positioning the stock -8.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.76) and -15.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.42). Across its 52-week range of $18.27 to $25.74, FRPH sits at the 9.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($17.82 to $20.06).

FRPH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FRPH's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FRPH.

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