Stock Ratings / Financials / FNWD / options

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Finward Bancorp (FNWD) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$43.90 +0.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.85

Finward Bancorp (FNWD) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $190.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FNWD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FNWD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Finward Bancorp (NASDAQ: FNWD) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $43.90 (+0.48% 1D, market cap $190.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FNWD ranks #263 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FNWD compare to BVFL and FCAP in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), FNWD carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, BVFL (BV Financial Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.0x, ROIC 7.3%, cap $189.1M) and FCAP (First Capital Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 13.0x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $213.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FCAP leads on earnings multiple (13.0x) while FCAP leads on capital efficiency (11.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNWD?

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Per FNWD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000919864), Finward Bancorp generated $0 in revenue, $8.1M in net income, and $9.0M in free cash flow against $2.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.86 (-0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNWD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FNWD SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 87% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$41.75-0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$41.61+4.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$43.53+0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$43.90+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FNWD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, FNWD faces multiple-compression risk if 23.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.68) or 200D SMA ($38.12) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($45.48) toward Bear Floor ($35.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FNWD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FNWD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±4.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FNWD)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FNWD.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FNWD & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FNWD
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FNWD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.69%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $43.69H $43.90L $43.69C $43.90VOL 13.7K

RES: $44.63SUP: $39.84SMA50: $42.68SMA200: $38.12

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FNWD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FNWD Butterfly Map → + Track FNWD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNWD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNWD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNWD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNWD)

Financials Rank #263 of 1096 ⚔️ BVFL vs FNWD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FNWD vs. BVFL, FCAP, FGBI, CZWI)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Finward Bancorp (FNWD) ranks #263 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #892 by equity capitalization ($190.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FCAP leads on earnings valuation at 13.0x trailing P/E, while FCAP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BVFL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with FNWD at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FNWD ACTIVE Finward Bancorp	C+	66/100	23.5x	—	4.6%	+0.48%	$190.2M	Benchmark Subject
BVFL BV Financial Inc.	C+	69/100	14.0x	—	7.3%	+1.00%	$189.1M	/bvfl-vs-fnwd →
FCAP First Capital Inc.	C+	67/100	13.0x	—	11.9%	-1.39%	$213.4M	/fcap-vs-fnwd →
FGBI First Guaranty Bancshares Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	-16.1%	+4.49%	$161.6M	/fgbi-vs-fnwd →
CZWI Citizens Community Bancorp Inc.	C	62/100	15.8x	—	7.7%	-0.38%	$228.4M	/czwi-vs-fnwd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000919864

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Finward Bancorp (FNWD) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $8.1M, operating cash flow of $9.9M, and free cash flow of $9.0M (+34.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FNWD closed FY2025 with $2.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$8.1M	$9.9M	$9.0M	$2.02B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$12.1M	$9.8M	$6.7M	$2.06B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$8.4M	$24.2M	$24.2M	—	—

3. FNWD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FNWD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FNWD compare to BVFL and FCAP in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNWD?

Where is FNWD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FNWD last traded at $43.90 (+0.48% on volume of 13,686 shares), positioning the stock +2.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.68) and +15.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.12). Across its 52-week range of $30.05 to $45.90, FNWD sits at the 87.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($42.01 to $45.79).

FNWD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FNWD's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FNWD.

Direct Sub-Reports: FNWD RQD Cockpit FNWD 12M Forecast FNWD Earnings & Move FNWD Dividends & DRIP FNWD Insiders & 13F FNWD Whale Options FNWD Profit Sankey FNWD News & Why