Stock Ratings / Financials / FNWB / forecast

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First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$10.31 -0.10% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.29

First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $98.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FNWB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FNWB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, First Northwest Bancorp (NASDAQ: FNWB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $10.31 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $98.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FNWB ranks #986 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FNWB compare to BSBK and WSBK in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Banks), FNWB carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -2.7%. By comparison, BSBK (Bogota Financial Corp.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 56.3x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $117.8M) and WSBK (Winchester Bancorp Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.7%, cap $123.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SRBK leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while SRBK leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNWB?

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Per FNWB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001556727), First Northwest Bancorp generated $0 in revenue, -$4.2M in net income, and -$2.8M in free cash flow against $2.11B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.29 (-0.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNWB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FNWB SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$9.85-3.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$9.49+3.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.79+5.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$10.31-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (27) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FNWB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FNWB currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.22) and Max Pain ($10.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.15.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FNWB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FNWB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FNWB Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $10.31: 969.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.21

$6,993

$-3,007 (-30.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.24

$8,962

$-1,038 (-10.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $13.15

$12,755

+$2,755 (+27.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$10	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$12	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$8	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FNWB)

✓Walkthrough of FNWB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FNWB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.93%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $10.32H $10.32L $10.31C $10.31VOL 29.5K

RES: $12.56SUP: $9.34SMA50: $10.22SMA200: $10.24

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FNWB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FNWB Butterfly Map → + Track FNWB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNWB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNWB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNWB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNWB)

Financials Rank #986 of 1096 ⚔️ BSBK vs FNWB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FNWB vs. BSBK, WSBK, SRBK, HYNE)

Industry: Banks (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) ranks #986 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #959 by equity capitalization ($98.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SRBK leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while SRBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. BSBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with FNWB at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FNWB ACTIVE First Northwest Bancorp	D-	35/100	—	—	-2.7%	-0.10%	$98.1M	Benchmark Subject
BSBK Bogota Financial Corp.	C-	59/100	56.3x	—	1.5%	-0.11%	$117.8M	/bsbk-vs-fnwb →
WSBK Winchester Bancorp Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	-0.7%	+0.41%	$123.9M	/wsbk-vs-fnwb →
SRBK SR Bancorp Inc.	D+	55/100	29.3x	—	2.7%	+0.64%	$150.5M	/srbk-vs-fnwb →
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	0.1%	+1.44%	$153.7M	/hyne-vs-fnwb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001556727

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$4.2M, operating cash flow of -$2.8M, and free cash flow of -$2.8M (-116.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FNWB closed FY2025 with $2.11B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$4.2M	-$2.8M	-$2.8M	$2.11B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$6.6M	$16.9M	$16.9M	$2.23B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$2.3M	$17.9M	$17.9M	—	—

3. FNWB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FNWB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FNWB compare to BSBK and WSBK in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNWB?

Where is FNWB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FNWB last traded at $10.31 (-0.10% on volume of 29,522 shares), positioning the stock +0.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.22) and +0.68% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.24). Across its 52-week range of $8.44 to $12.52, FNWB sits at the 45.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($9.65 to $10.97).

FNWB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FNWB's 12-month stock price target?

First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $9.24 (-10.4% from $10.31), with a bull-case target of $13.15 and a bear-case floor of $7.21.

Is FNWB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FNWB D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 35/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: FNWB RQD Cockpit FNWB 12M Forecast FNWB Earnings & Move FNWB Dividends & DRIP FNWB Insiders & 13F FNWB Whale Options FNWB Profit Sankey FNWB News & Why