flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.23 0.00% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23

flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $130.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-01, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FLYX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (0.00% 1D, market cap $130.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYX ranks #966 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLYX compare to UP and SRFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), FLYX carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and SRFM (Surf Air Mobility Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $105.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLYX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PAL leads on capital efficiency (-11.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYX?
β–Ό

Per FLYX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843973), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) generated $375.9M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), -$17.6M in net income, and -$24.3M in free cash flow against $440.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13% Base Target
$9 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FLYX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLYX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FLYX SCORES 29/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$1.35-17% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$1.12+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$1.14+7.9% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$1.23-9.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (37) β†’ E (29)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLYX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While FLYX currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.21) and Max Pain ($1.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.32.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLYXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFLYX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FLYX)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FLYX.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLYX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FLYX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FLYX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.71%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.21H $1.23L $1.15C $1.23VOL 139.6K
RES: $1.42SUP: $1.07SMA50: $1.21SMA200: $1.94
$3.44$2.79$2.14$1.50$0.85RES $1.42SUP $1.07$1.232026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLYX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLYX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLYX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLYX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLYX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #966 of 1011 βš”οΈ UP vs FLYX Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FLYX vs. UP, SRFM, PAL, YTRA)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) ranks #966 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #739 by equity capitalization ($130.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLYX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. SRFM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with FLYX at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLYX ACTIVE
flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 β€” 15.0% -35.0% 0.00% $130.0M Benchmark Subject
UP
Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 β€” 10.0% -35.0% +3.91% $115.7M /up-vs-flyx β†’
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility Inc.
D+ 53/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +0.91% $105.1M /srfm-vs-flyx β†’
PAL
Proficient Auto Logistics Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” β€” -11.6% -2.02% $67.9M /pal-vs-flyx β†’
YTRA
Yatra Online Inc.
D+ 53/100 β€” β€” β€” -9.13% $52.9M /ytra-vs-flyx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001843973

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) reported GAAP revenue of $375.9M (+14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $327.3M , and +19.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.6M, operating cash flow of $6.7M, and free cash flow of -$24.3M (+64.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLYX closed FY2025 with $440.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $375.9M -$17.6M $6.7M -$24.3M $440.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $327.3M -$21.1M -$10.9M -$67.6M $538.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $315.4M -$46.8M $8.7M $8.7M β€” β€”

3. FLYX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FLYX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (0.00% 1D, market cap $130.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYX ranks #966 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLYX compare to UP and SRFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), FLYX carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and SRFM (Surf Air Mobility Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $105.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLYX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PAL leads on capital efficiency (-11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYX?

Per FLYX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843973), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) generated $375.9M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), -$17.6M in net income, and -$24.3M in free cash flow against $440.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLYX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYX last traded at $1.23 (0.00% on volume of 100,992 shares), positioning the stock +1.65% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.21) and -36.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.94). Across its 52-week range of $1.05 to $8.88, FLYX sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.08 to $1.38).

FLYX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is FLYX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FLYX.

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