Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FLYX / forecast

UP (27) SRFM (53) PAL (41) YTRA (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FLYX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (0.00% 1D, market cap $130.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYX ranks #966 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does FLYX compare to UP and SRFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), FLYX carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and SRFM (Surf Air Mobility Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $105.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLYX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PAL leads on capital efficiency (-11.6% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYX?

Per FLYX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843973), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) generated $375.9M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), -$17.6M in net income, and -$24.3M in free cash flow against $440.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is FLYX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYX last traded at $1.23 (0.00% on volume of 100,992 shares), positioning the stock +1.65% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.21) and -36.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.94). Across its 52-week range of $1.05 to $8.88, FLYX sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.08 to $1.38).

Q: What is FLYX's 12-month stock price target?

flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.07 (-13% from $1.23), with a bull-case target of $9.32 and a bear-case floor of $0.83.

Q: Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FLYX E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 29/100.

$1.23 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23

flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $130.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.23 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLYX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FLYX SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.35-17% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.12+1.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.14+7.9% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.23-9.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLYX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FLYX currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.21) and Max Pain ($1.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLYX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FLYX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 29%NO 71%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FLYX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.23: 8130.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.83

$6,748

$-3,252 (-32.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.07

$8,699

$-1,301 (-13.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.32

$75,772

+$65,772 (+657.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$9	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLYX)

✓Walkthrough of FLYX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FLYX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.71%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.21H $1.23L $1.15C $1.23VOL 139.6K

RES: $1.42SUP: $1.07SMA50: $1.21SMA200: $1.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLYX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FLYX Butterfly Map → + Track FLYX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLYX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLYX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLYX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLYX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #966 of 1011 ⚔️ UP vs FLYX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FLYX vs. UP, SRFM, PAL, YTRA)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) ranks #966 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #739 by equity capitalization ($130.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLYX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. SRFM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with FLYX at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FLYX ACTIVE flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)	E	29/100	—	15.0%	-35.0%	0.00%	$130.0M	Benchmark Subject
UP Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)	E	27/100	—	10.0%	-35.0%	+3.91%	$115.7M	/up-vs-flyx →
SRFM Surf Air Mobility Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	-35.0%	+0.91%	$105.1M	/srfm-vs-flyx →
PAL Proficient Auto Logistics Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	-11.6%	-2.02%	$67.9M	/pal-vs-flyx →
YTRA Yatra Online Inc.	D+	53/100	—	—	—	-9.13%	$52.9M	/ytra-vs-flyx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001843973

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) reported GAAP revenue of $375.9M (+14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $327.3M , and +19.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.6M, operating cash flow of $6.7M, and free cash flow of -$24.3M (+64.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLYX closed FY2025 with $440.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$375.9M	-$17.6M	$6.7M	-$24.3M	$440.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$327.3M	-$21.1M	-$10.9M	-$67.6M	$538.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$315.4M	-$46.8M	$8.7M	$8.7M	—	—

3. FLYX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FLYX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $1.23 (0.00% 1D, market cap $130.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYX ranks #966 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLYX compare to UP and SRFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), FLYX carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and SRFM (Surf Air Mobility Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $105.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLYX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PAL leads on capital efficiency (-11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYX?

Per FLYX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843973), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) generated $375.9M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), -$17.6M in net income, and -$24.3M in free cash flow against $440.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLYX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYX last traded at $1.23 (0.00% on volume of 100,992 shares), positioning the stock +1.65% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.21) and -36.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.94). Across its 52-week range of $1.05 to $8.88, FLYX sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.08 to $1.38).

FLYX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FLYX's 12-month stock price target?

flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.07 (-13% from $1.23), with a bull-case target of $9.32 and a bear-case floor of $0.83.

Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FLYX E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 29/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: FLYX RQD Cockpit FLYX 12M Forecast FLYX Earnings & Move FLYX Dividends & DRIP FLYX Insiders & 13F FLYX Whale Options FLYX Profit Sankey FLYX News & Why