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Stock Ratings / Industrials / FLYE / insiders
DUKR (47) BAER (56) UAVS (32) MOB (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.83 0.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.83

Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $3.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.83 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (8)SEC (3)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target
$23 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FLYE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLYE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FLYE SCORES 24/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 3% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 44.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$2.33+14.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$2.66-28.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$1.91-4.2% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$1.83-10.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (32) β†’ E (24)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLYE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While FLYE currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.87) and Max Pain ($1.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.89.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLYEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFLYE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 24%NO 76%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

FLYE Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (FLYE)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on FLYE. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLYE)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FLYE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FLYE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.11%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $1.82H $1.83L $1.69C $1.83VOL 22.7K
RES: $6.78SUP: $1.14SMA50: $1.87SMA200: $2.29
$21.38$15.92$10.45$4.99$-0.48RES $6.78SUP $1.14$1.832026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLYE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ FLYE Butterfly Map β†’ + Track FLYE β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLYE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLYE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLYE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLYE)

Industrials Rank #479 of 485 βš”οΈ DUKR vs FLYE Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FLYE vs. DUKR, BAER, UAVS, MOB)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) ranks #479 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #472 by equity capitalization ($3.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BAER leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while FLYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -24.2% ROIC and 24.4% gross margin. BAER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with FLYE at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLYE ACTIVE
Fly-E Group Inc.
E 24/100 β€” 24.4% -24.2% 0.00% $3.0M Benchmark Subject
DUKR
DUKE Robotics Corp.
D 47/100 11.7x β€” -35.0% +3.66% $14.6M /dukr-vs-flye β†’
BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 5.8x 42.1% β€” -4.71% $23.8M /baer-vs-flye β†’
UAVS
AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.
E 32/100 β€” 51.8% -32.4% -4.22% $34.1M /uavs-vs-flye β†’
MOB
Mobilicom Limited
D 50/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.94% $42.5M /mob-vs-flye β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0001975940

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Fly-E Group Inc. (FLYE) reported GAAP revenue of $19.1M (-25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.4M , and -40.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.3M, operating cash flow of -$13.8M, and free cash flow of -$13.9M (-19.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLYE closed FY2025 with $34.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.27, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $19.1M -$9.3M -$13.8M -$13.9M $34.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $25.4M -$5.3M -$10.1M -$11.7M $37.2M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $32.2M $1.9M $4.3M $4.3M β€” β€”

3. FLYE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLYE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Fly-E Group Inc. (NASDAQ: FLYE) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $1.83 (0.00% 1D, market cap $3.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FLYE ranks #479 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLYE compare to DUKR and BAER in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), FLYE carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 24.4%, and ROIC of -24.2%. By comparison, DUKR (DUKE Robotics Corp.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 11.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $14.6M) and BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC β€”, cap $23.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while FLYE leads on capital efficiency (-24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYE?

Per FLYE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001975940), Fly-E Group Inc. generated $19.1M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), -$9.3M in net income, and -$13.9M in free cash flow against $34.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLYE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYE last traded at $1.83 (0.00% on volume of 14,890 shares), positioning the stock -2.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.87) and -20.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.29). Across its 52-week range of $1.22 to $21.80, FLYE sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.60 to $2.06).

FLYE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are FLYE insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies FLYE leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: FLYE RQD Cockpit FLYE 12M Forecast FLYE Earnings & Move FLYE Dividends & DRIP FLYE Insiders & 13F FLYE Whale Options FLYE Profit Sankey FLYE News & Why
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