MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why FIZZ Stock surged +2.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$35.02 +2.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.24
National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 66% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $3.28B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $35.02 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $3.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FIZZ ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does FIZZ compare to COCO and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), FIZZ carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of 65.6%. By comparison, COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.21B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIZZ?
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Per FIZZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0000069891), National Beverage Corp. generated $1.18B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $183.6M in net income, and $156.1M in free cash flow against $792.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.24 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIZZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FIZZ SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($156.1M FCF) & 37% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 65% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$30.52+14.5% Next Q
65
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$34.96+3.4% Next Q
68
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$36.15-3.1% Next Q
70
CurrentGrade B$35.02+7.1% Hist 90D α
73
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FIZZ Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 73/100 (B) score, FIZZ faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.25) or 200D SMA ($33.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.38) toward Bear Floor ($28.72).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIZZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FIZZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FIZZ Stock surged +2.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) surged +2.19% to $35.02, trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($28.97 – $38.21). High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 66% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($28.97 – $38.21) with RSI-14 at 60.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.1% around $35.02 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 37% gross margin and $156.1M annual free cash flow.
Live FIZZ Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FIZZ Tape Review)
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FIZZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $35.82H $35.99L $35.02C $35.02VOL 278.0K
RES: $37.56SUP: $28.12SMA50: $32.25SMA200: $33.68
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FIZZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIZZ today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIZZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIZZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIZZ)
Consumer Staples Rank #11 of 146
⚔️ COCO vs FIZZ Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (FIZZ vs. COCO, SAM, CCU, PRMB)
Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #46 by equity capitalization ($3.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. FIZZ currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIZZ
ACTIVE
National Beverage Corp. | B | 73/100 | 17.9x | 37.0% | 65.6% | +2.19% | $3.28B | Benchmark Subject |
| COCO The Vita Coco Company Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 44.2x | 36.5% | 40.6% | -0.18% | $3.21B | /coco-vs-fizz → |
| SAM Boston Beer Company Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 18.4x | 48.5% | 18.4% | +0.13% | $2.01B | /sam-vs-fizz → |
| CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -1.88% | $1.93B | /ccu-vs-fizz → |
| PRMB Primo Brands Corporation | D- | 36/100 | 117.4x | 30.3% | 4.4% | +0.78% | $7.06B | /prmb-vs-fizz → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-02 • CIK 0000069891In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02), National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $183.6M, operating cash flow of $181.3M, and free cash flow of $156.1M (-8.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIZZ closed FY2025 with $792.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.84, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-05-02 | $1.18B | $183.6M | $181.3M | $156.1M | $792.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-05-03 | $1.20B | $186.8M | $206.7M | $170.4M | $594.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-04-27 | $1.19B | $176.7M | $197.9M | $197.9M | — | — |
3. FIZZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $35.02 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $3.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FIZZ ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FIZZ compare to COCO and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), FIZZ carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of 65.6%. By comparison, COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.21B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIZZ?
Per FIZZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0000069891), National Beverage Corp. generated $1.18B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $183.6M in net income, and $156.1M in free cash flow against $792.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FIZZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FIZZ last traded at $35.02 (+2.19% on volume of 307,487 shares), positioning the stock +8.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.25) and +3.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.68). Across its 52-week range of $28.97 to $38.21, FIZZ sits at the 65.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($32.88 to $37.16).
FIZZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FIZZ stock moving today?
Why FIZZ Stock surged +2.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 66% return on capital) with steady institutional support.