Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / FIZZ / forecast

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National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$35.02 +2.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.24

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 66% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $3.28B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.24 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIZZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FIZZ SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($156.1M FCF) & 37% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 65% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$30.52+14.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$34.96+3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$36.15-3.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B$35.02+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FIZZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, FIZZ faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.25) or 200D SMA ($33.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.38) toward Bear Floor ($28.72).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIZZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FIZZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FIZZ Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $35.02: 285.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $28.72

$8,201

$-1,799 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $37.38

$10,674

+$674 (+6.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $44.11

$12,596

+$2,596 (+26.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$39	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$41	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$33	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FIZZ Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FIZZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $35.82H $35.99L $35.02C $35.02VOL 278.0K

RES: $37.56SUP: $28.12SMA50: $32.25SMA200: $33.68

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIZZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FIZZ Butterfly Map → + Track FIZZ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIZZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIZZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIZZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIZZ)

Consumer Staples Rank #11 of 146 ⚔️ COCO vs FIZZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (FIZZ vs. COCO, SAM, CCU, PRMB)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #46 by equity capitalization ($3.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. FIZZ currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FIZZ ACTIVE National Beverage Corp.	B	73/100	17.9x	37.0%	65.6%	+2.19%	$3.28B	Benchmark Subject
COCO The Vita Coco Company Inc.	D+	56/100	44.2x	36.5%	40.6%	-0.18%	$3.21B	/coco-vs-fizz →
SAM Boston Beer Company Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	48.5%	18.4%	+0.13%	$2.01B	/sam-vs-fizz →
CCU Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.88%	$1.93B	/ccu-vs-fizz →
PRMB Primo Brands Corporation	D-	36/100	117.4x	30.3%	4.4%	+0.78%	$7.06B	/prmb-vs-fizz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-02 • CIK 0000069891

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02), National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $183.6M, operating cash flow of $181.3M, and free cash flow of $156.1M (-8.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIZZ closed FY2025 with $792.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.84, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-05-02	$1.18B	$183.6M	$181.3M	$156.1M	$792.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-05-03	$1.20B	$186.8M	$206.7M	$170.4M	$594.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-04-27	$1.19B	$176.7M	$197.9M	$197.9M	—	—

3. FIZZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $35.02 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $3.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FIZZ ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FIZZ compare to COCO and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), FIZZ carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of 65.6%. By comparison, COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.21B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIZZ?

Per FIZZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0000069891), National Beverage Corp. generated $1.18B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $183.6M in net income, and $156.1M in free cash flow against $792.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FIZZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIZZ last traded at $35.02 (+2.19% on volume of 307,487 shares), positioning the stock +8.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.25) and +3.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.68). Across its 52-week range of $28.97 to $38.21, FIZZ sits at the 65.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($32.88 to $37.16).

FIZZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FIZZ's 12-month stock price target?

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $37.38 (+6.7% from $35.02), with a bull-case target of $44.11 and a bear-case floor of $28.72.

Is FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FIZZ B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 73/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: FIZZ RQD Cockpit FIZZ 12M Forecast FIZZ Earnings & Move FIZZ Dividends & DRIP FIZZ Insiders & 13F FIZZ Whale Options FIZZ Profit Sankey FIZZ News & Why