MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why FIVN Stock slipped -0.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$37.41 -0.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.30
Five9 Inc. (FIVN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.80B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.30 (-0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 17.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIVN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FIVN SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.57 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 90% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$36.40-11.5% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$32.23+16.7% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$37.61-0.5% Next Q
56
CurrentGrade C-$37.41+0.2% Hist 90D α
59
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FIVN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, FIVN faces multiple-compression risk if 70.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 71x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.42) or 200D SMA ($24.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.58) toward Bear Floor ($29.31).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIVN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FIVN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FIVN Stock slipped -0.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Five9 Inc. (FIVN) slipped -0.58% to $37.41, trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($13.29 – $40). Solid 55% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 71x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($13.29 – $40) with RSI-14 at 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $37.41 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 55.1% gross margin and $201.2M annual free cash flow.
Live FIVN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FIVN Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FIVN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +117.50%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $36.75H $37.41L $35.47C $37.41VOL 1.47M
RES: $44.72SUP: $33.77SMA50: $34.42SMA200: $24.13
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FIVN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
46.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +10.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIVN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIVN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIVN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIVN)
Technology Rank #259 of 714
⚔️ NTCT vs FIVN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (FIVN vs. NTCT, LFTO, CARG, KD)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Five9 Inc. (FIVN) ranks #259 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #260 by equity capitalization ($2.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 90/100 (A) compared with FIVN at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIVN
ACTIVE
Five9 Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 70.9x | 55.1% | 4.1% | -0.58% | $2.80B | Benchmark Subject |
| NTCT NetScout Systems Inc. | C | 64/100 | 30.0x | 79.4% | 7.9% | -0.45% | $2.86B | /ntct-vs-fivn → |
| LFTO Liftoff Mobile Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -0.87% | $2.71B | /lfto-vs-fivn → |
| CARG CarGurus Inc. (Class A) | A | 90/100 | 18.6x | 92.8% | 85.0% | +3.77% | $2.89B | /carg-vs-fivn → |
| KD Kyndryl Holdings Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | 21.8% | — | -1.06% | $3.04B | /kd-vs-fivn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001288847In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Five9 Inc. (FIVN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.15B (+10.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.04B , and +26.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $39.4M, operating cash flow of $226.2M, and free cash flow of $201.2M (+99.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIVN closed FY2025 with $1.79B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.57, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.15B | $39.4M | $226.2M | $201.2M | $1.79B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.04B | -$12.8M | $143.2M | $100.8M | $2.05B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $910.5M | -$81.8M | $128.8M | $128.8M | — | — |
3. FIVN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FIVN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Five9 Inc. (NASDAQ: FIVN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $37.41 (-0.58% 1D, market cap $2.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, FIVN ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FIVN compare to NTCT and LFTO in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), FIVN carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 70.9x, gross margin of 55.1%, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $2.86B) and LFTO (Liftoff Mobile Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIVN?
Per FIVN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001288847), Five9 Inc. generated $1.15B in revenue (+10.3% YoY), $39.4M in net income, and $201.2M in free cash flow against $1.79B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 71x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FIVN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FIVN last traded at $37.41 (-0.58% on volume of 1,242,137 shares), positioning the stock +8.69% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.42) and +55.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.13). Across its 52-week range of $13.29 to $40.00, FIVN sits at the 90.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($32.73 to $42.09).
FIVN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FIVN stock moving today?
Why FIVN Stock slipped -0.58% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 55% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 71x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.