Stock Ratings / Technology / FIVN / earnings

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Five9 Inc. (FIVN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$37.41 -0.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.30

Five9 Inc. (FIVN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.80B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.30 (-0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 17.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIVN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FIVN SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.57 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 90% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$36.40-11.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$32.23+16.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$37.61-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$37.41+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FIVN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, FIVN faces multiple-compression risk if 70.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 71x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.42) or 200D SMA ($24.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.58) toward Bear Floor ($29.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIVN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FIVN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$4.68 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FIVN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $0.53 • YoY Revenue Growth: 10.3%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.15B	$39.4M	$201.2M	55.1%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.04B	-$12.8M	$100.8M	54.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$910.5M	-$81.8M	$128.8M	55.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FIVN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FIVN
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FIVN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +117.50%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $36.75H $37.41L $35.47C $37.41VOL 1.47M

RES: $44.72SUP: $33.77SMA50: $34.42SMA200: $24.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIVN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FIVN Butterfly Map → + Track FIVN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

46.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIVN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIVN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIVN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIVN)

Technology Rank #259 of 714 ⚔️ NTCT vs FIVN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (FIVN vs. NTCT, LFTO, CARG, KD)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Five9 Inc. (FIVN) ranks #259 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #260 by equity capitalization ($2.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 90/100 (A) compared with FIVN at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FIVN ACTIVE Five9 Inc.	C-	59/100	70.9x	55.1%	4.1%	-0.58%	$2.80B	Benchmark Subject
NTCT NetScout Systems Inc.	C	64/100	30.0x	79.4%	7.9%	-0.45%	$2.86B	/ntct-vs-fivn →
LFTO Liftoff Mobile Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-0.87%	$2.71B	/lfto-vs-fivn →
CARG CarGurus Inc. (Class A)	A	90/100	18.6x	92.8%	85.0%	+3.77%	$2.89B	/carg-vs-fivn →
KD Kyndryl Holdings Inc.	D	51/100	—	21.8%	—	-1.06%	$3.04B	/kd-vs-fivn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001288847

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Five9 Inc. (FIVN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.15B (+10.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.04B , and +26.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $39.4M, operating cash flow of $226.2M, and free cash flow of $201.2M (+99.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIVN closed FY2025 with $1.79B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.57, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.15B	$39.4M	$226.2M	$201.2M	$1.79B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.04B	-$12.8M	$143.2M	$100.8M	$2.05B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$910.5M	-$81.8M	$128.8M	$128.8M	—	—

3. FIVN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIVN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Five9 Inc. (NASDAQ: FIVN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $37.41 (-0.58% 1D, market cap $2.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, FIVN ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FIVN compare to NTCT and LFTO in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), FIVN carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 70.9x, gross margin of 55.1%, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $2.86B) and LFTO (Liftoff Mobile Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIVN?

Per FIVN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001288847), Five9 Inc. generated $1.15B in revenue (+10.3% YoY), $39.4M in net income, and $201.2M in free cash flow against $1.79B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 71x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FIVN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIVN last traded at $37.41 (-0.58% on volume of 1,242,137 shares), positioning the stock +8.69% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.42) and +55.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.13). Across its 52-week range of $13.29 to $40.00, FIVN sits at the 90.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($32.73 to $42.09).

FIVN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FIVN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Five9 Inc. (FIVN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FIVN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for FIVN, spanning a range between $32.73 and $42.09.

Direct Sub-Reports: FIVN RQD Cockpit FIVN 12M Forecast FIVN Earnings & Move FIVN Dividends & DRIP FIVN Insiders & 13F FIVN Whale Options FIVN Profit Sankey FIVN News & Why