First Interstate BancSystem Inc. (FIBK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$37.95 +1.04% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.95

First Interstate BancSystem Inc. (FIBK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.62B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.95 (+0.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 7.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510068
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk B
Cash (10)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$47 Bull$40 Base$31 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FIBK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIBK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FIBK SCORES 68/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 76% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 62.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$34.52+0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$34.82+5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$36.78+3.2% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$37.95+1.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (60) β†’ C+ (68)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FIBK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, FIBK faces multiple-compression risk if 12.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.45) or 200D SMA ($36.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.66) toward Bear Floor ($30.93).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIBKβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFIBK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±4.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FIBK)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FIBK.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FIBK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FIBK
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FIBK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.93%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $38.00H $38.04L $37.37C $37.95VOL 1.02M
RES: $39.14SUP: $33.28SMA50: $36.45SMA200: $36.28
$41.10$39.02$36.93$34.84$32.75RES $39.14SUP $33.28$37.952026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIBK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIBK today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIBK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIBK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIBK)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FIBK vs. NIC, RNST, WSBC, BANF)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Interstate BancSystem Inc. (FIBK) ranks #217 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #324 by equity capitalization ($3.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIBK leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while BANF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. BANF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with FIBK at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FIBK ACTIVE
First Interstate BancSystem Inc.
C+ 68/100 12.0x β€” 8.8% +1.04% $3.62B Benchmark Subject
NIC
Nicolet Bankshares Inc.
C+ 68/100 24.0x β€” 12.0% +0.89% $3.62B /nic-vs-fibk β†’
RNST
Renasant Corporation
C+ 67/100 20.3x β€” 4.7% +0.17% $3.68B /rnst-vs-fibk β†’
WSBC
WesBanco Inc.
C+ 69/100 16.7x β€” 5.5% +0.99% $3.73B /wsbc-vs-fibk β†’
BANF
BancFirst Corporation
B- 71/100 15.6x β€” 13.0% +0.68% $3.74B /banf-vs-fibk β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000860413

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Interstate BancSystem Inc. (FIBK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $302.1M, operating cash flow of $305.6M, and free cash flow of $305.6M (-13.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIBK closed FY2025 with $26.64B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $302.1M $305.6M $305.6M $26.64B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $226.0M $355.0M $355.0M $29.14B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $257.5M $428.0M $428.0M β€” β€”

3. FIBK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIBK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First Interstate BancSystem Inc. (NASDAQ: FIBK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $37.95 (+1.04% 1D, market cap $3.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FIBK ranks #217 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FIBK compare to NIC and RNST in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), FIBK carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, NIC (Nicolet Bankshares Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 24.0x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $3.62B) and RNST (Renasant Corporation) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $3.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIBK leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while BANF leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIBK?

Per FIBK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000860413), First Interstate BancSystem Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $302.1M in net income, and $305.6M in free cash flow against $26.64B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FIBK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIBK last traded at $37.95 (+1.04% on volume of 985,391 shares), positioning the stock +4.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.45) and +4.60% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.28). Across its 52-week range of $29.39 to $40.60, FIBK sits at the 76.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.4% ($36.28 to $39.62).

FIBK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is FIBK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FIBK.

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