Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$17.45 +0.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.43

Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $91.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.43 (-0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 94.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B
Cash (8)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$21 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE FDSB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FDSB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FDSB SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 78% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$17.32-2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$16.88+3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$17.44+0.1% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$17.45+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FDSB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, FDSB faces multiple-compression risk if 22.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.81) or 200D SMA ($16.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.53) toward Bear Floor ($13.67).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FDSB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FDSB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in FDSB & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on FDSB and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FDSB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $17.71H $17.71L $17.45C $17.45VOL 500
RES: $19.46SUP: $16.70SMA50: $17.81SMA200: $16.23
$19.01$17.70$16.39$15.08$13.77RES $19.46SUP $16.70$17.452026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FDSB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FDSB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FDSB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FDSB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FDSB)

Financials Rank #584 of 1096 ⚔️ CPBI vs FDSB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FDSB vs. CPBI, BYFC, PROV, SFBC)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) ranks #584 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #969 by equity capitalization ($91.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SFBC leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while SFBC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and — gross margin. SFBC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with FDSB at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FDSB ACTIVE
Fifth District Bancorp Inc.
C- 59/100 22.3x — 3.2% +0.51% $91.4M Benchmark Subject
CPBI
Central Plains Bancshares Inc.
C- 61/100 21.5x — 4.6% 0.00% $86.0M /cpbi-vs-fdsb →
BYFC
Broadway Financial Corporation (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -9.4% +0.26% $106.5M /byfc-vs-fdsb →
PROV
Provident Financial Holdings Inc.
C- 60/100 18.0x — 4.9% 0.00% $112.8M /prov-vs-fdsb →
SFBC
Sound Financial Bancorp Inc.
C+ 67/100 16.1x — 6.5% 0.00% $115.6M /sfbc-vs-fdsb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002012726

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) reported GAAP revenue of $605.0K (-2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $619.0K , and -1.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.1M, operating cash flow of $1.3M, and free cash flow of $942.0K (+160.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, FDSB closed FY2025 with $534.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $605.0K $4.1M $1.3M $942.0K $534.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $619.0K -$1.1M -$1.1M -$1.6M $527.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $614.0K $797.0K $796.0K $796.0K — —

3. FDSB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FDSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: FDSB) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $17.45 (+0.51% 1D, market cap $91.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FDSB ranks #584 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FDSB compare to CPBI and BYFC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), FDSB carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.2%. By comparison, CPBI (Central Plains Bancshares Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 21.5x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $86.0M) and BYFC (Broadway Financial Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.4%, cap $106.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SFBC leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while SFBC leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDSB?

Per FDSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002012726), Fifth District Bancorp Inc. generated $605.0K in revenue (-2.3% YoY), $4.1M in net income, and $942.0K in free cash flow against $534.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FDSB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FDSB last traded at $17.45 (+0.51% on volume of 1,275 shares), positioning the stock -2.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.81) and +7.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.23). Across its 52-week range of $13.00 to $18.69, FDSB sits at the 78.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.1% ($17.08 to $17.82).

FDSB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does FDSB pay a dividend and is it safe?

Fifth District Bancorp Inc. (FDSB) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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