Stock Ratings / Financials / FCPT / earnings

PEB (46) IVT (66) LTC (78) AKR (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Four Corners Property Trust Inc. (FCPT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4% Move

$22.33 +1.36% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.34

Four Corners Property Trust Inc. (FCPT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.45B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.34 (+0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 610.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FCPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FCPT SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 610.7% FCF Margin ($192.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$21.28+3.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$21.99+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$22.15+0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C$22.33+1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FCPT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, FCPT faces multiple-compression risk if 21.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.88) or 200D SMA ($24.48) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.93) toward Bear Floor ($17.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FCPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FCPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4% Swing Band

±$0.89 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FCPT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $1.02 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.8%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$31.5M	$112.4M	$192.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$30.9M	$100.5M	$144.1M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$30.7M	$95.3M	$165.1M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FCPT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FCPT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FCPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.67%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $22.35H $22.56L $22.19C $22.33VOL 1.71M

RES: $23.30SUP: $20.32SMA50: $22.88SMA200: $24.48

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FCPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FCPT Butterfly Map → + Track FCPT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

15.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FCPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FCPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FCPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FCPT)

Financials Rank #348 of 1096 ⚔️ PEB vs FCPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FCPT vs. PEB, IVT, LTC, AKR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Four Corners Property Trust Inc. (FCPT) ranks #348 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #401 by equity capitalization ($2.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LTC leads on earnings valuation at 19.3x trailing P/E, while LTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.2% ROIC and — gross margin. LTC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with FCPT at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FCPT ACTIVE Four Corners Property Trust Inc.	C	64/100	21.8x	—	6.9%	+1.36%	$2.45B	Benchmark Subject
PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of	D	46/100	—	—	1.5%	+1.16%	$2.45B	/peb-vs-fcpt →
IVT InvenTrust Properties Corp.	C+	66/100	21.7x	—	2.6%	+3.16%	$2.42B	/ivt-vs-fcpt →
LTC LTC Properties Inc.	B+	78/100	19.3x	—	15.2%	+3.72%	$2.39B	/ltc-vs-fcpt →
AKR Acadia Realty Trust	C	63/100	155.0x	—	1.8%	+2.42%	$2.62B	/akr-vs-fcpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001650132

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Four Corners Property Trust Inc. (FCPT) reported GAAP revenue of $31.5M (+1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $30.9M , and +2.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $112.4M, operating cash flow of $192.3M, and free cash flow of $192.3M (+33.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FCPT closed FY2025 with $2.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$31.5M	$112.4M	$192.3M	$192.3M	$2.92B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$30.9M	$100.5M	$144.1M	$144.1M	$2.65B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$30.7M	$95.3M	$165.1M	$165.1M	—	—

3. FCPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FCPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Four Corners Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: FCPT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $22.33 (+1.36% 1D, market cap $2.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FCPT ranks #348 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FCPT compare to PEB and IVT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FCPT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, PEB (Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.5%, cap $2.45B) and IVT (InvenTrust Properties Corp.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LTC leads on earnings multiple (19.3x) while LTC leads on capital efficiency (15.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCPT?

Per FCPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001650132), Four Corners Property Trust Inc. generated $31.5M in revenue (+1.8% YoY), $112.4M in net income, and $192.3M in free cash flow against $2.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FCPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FCPT last traded at $22.33 (+1.36% on volume of 1,028,527 shares), positioning the stock -2.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.88) and -8.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.48). Across its 52-week range of $20.86 to $26.86, FCPT sits at the 24.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($21.44 to $23.22).