Stock Ratings / Financials / FBRT / earnings

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Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.9% Move

$6.16 -2.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.12

Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $466.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.12 (-0.70%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 985.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FBRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FBRT SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 985.2% FCF Margin ($291.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$6.19+0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$6.21+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$6.24-1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C$6.16+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FBRT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, FBRT faces multiple-compression risk if 5.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.13) or 200D SMA ($8.35) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.30) toward Bear Floor ($4.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FBRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FBRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.9% Swing Band

±$0.43 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FBRT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $1.11 • YoY Revenue Growth: 29.7%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$29.6M	$84.1M	$291.9M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$22.8M	$92.4M	$57.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$17.0M	$144.5M	$197.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FBRT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FBRT
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FBRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.31%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $6.21H $6.21L $5.98C $6.16VOL 1.14M

RES: $8.45SUP: $5.68SMA50: $7.13SMA200: $8.35

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FBRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FBRT Butterfly Map → + Track FBRT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-12.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FBRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FBRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FBRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FBRT)

Financials Rank #398 of 1096 ⚔️ ILPT vs FBRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FBRT vs. ILPT, NXRT, FVR, TRTX)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) ranks #398 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #722 by equity capitalization ($466.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBRT leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while NXRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TRTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with FBRT at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FBRT ACTIVE Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.	C	63/100	5.5x	—	5.8%	-2.84%	$466.1M	Benchmark Subject
ILPT Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of	D+	54/100	—	—	-13.5%	-4.90%	$467.5M	/ilpt-vs-fbrt →
NXRT NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	7.8%	+2.75%	$468.1M	/nxrt-vs-fbrt →
FVR FrontView REIT Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-1.2%	+4.27%	$453.4M	/fvr-vs-fbrt →
TRTX TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.	C	64/100	8.1x	—	5.6%	-1.08%	$486.8M	/trtx-vs-fbrt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001562528

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) reported GAAP revenue of $29.6M (+29.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.8M , and +74.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $84.1M, operating cash flow of $291.9M, and free cash flow of $291.9M (+410.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FBRT closed FY2025 with $6.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$29.6M	$84.1M	$291.9M	$291.9M	$6.06B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$22.8M	$92.4M	$57.2M	$57.2M	$6.00B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$17.0M	$144.5M	$197.4M	$197.4M	—	—

3. FBRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FBRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: FBRT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $6.16 (-2.84% 1D, market cap $466.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FBRT ranks #398 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FBRT compare to ILPT and NXRT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FBRT carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, ILPT (Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.5%, cap $467.5M) and NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.8%, cap $468.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBRT?

Per FBRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001562528), Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. generated $29.6M in revenue (+29.7% YoY), $84.1M in net income, and $291.9M in free cash flow against $6.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FBRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FBRT last traded at $6.16 (-2.84% on volume of 3,011,411 shares), positioning the stock -13.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.13) and -26.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.35). Across its 52-week range of $5.90 to $10.82, FBRT sits at the 5.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($5.73 to $6.59).