Stock Ratings / Industrials / FBDT / earnings

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First Breach Inc. (FBDT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.95 -3.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.94

First Breach Inc. (FBDT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $53.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.94 (-0.82%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FBDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FBDT SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (37% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$0.89-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.82-8.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.75+26.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.95-10.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (19) → E (27)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FBDT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FBDT currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.97) and Max Pain ($1.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FBDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FBDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 27%NO 73%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.12 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FBDT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 27/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -50.4%

Model Bullish Setup (27/100)Model Risk Weight (73/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$384.1K	-$13.8M	-$3.5M	-50%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$773.9K	-$6.1M	-$1.6M	-50%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FBDT)

✓Walkthrough of FBDT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FBDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -77.11%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $0.97H $0.97L $0.92C $0.95VOL 104.4K

RES: $0.75SUP: $0.68SMA50: $0.97SMA200: $1.03

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FBDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FBDT Butterfly Map → + Track FBDT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -50.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FBDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FBDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FBDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FBDT)

Industrials Rank #469 of 485 ⚔️ WRAP vs FBDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FBDT vs. WRAP, POWW, RGR, SWBI)

Industry: Ordnance And Accessories (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Breach Inc. (FBDT) ranks #469 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #402 by equity capitalization ($53.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SWBI leads on earnings valuation at 39.8x trailing P/E, while SWBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.7% ROIC and 26.9% gross margin. SWBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with FBDT at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FBDT ACTIVE First Breach Inc.	E	27/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-3.51%	$53.0M	Benchmark Subject
WRAP Wrap Technologies Inc.	E	31/100	—	57.8%	-35.0%	-0.81%	$76.3M	/wrap-vs-fbdt →
POWW Outdoor Holding Company	D-	37/100	—	87.2%	-3.0%	-0.42%	$276.2M	/poww-vs-fbdt →
RGR Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.	D	49/100	—	14.9%	-3.7%	-1.31%	$731.5M	/rgr-vs-fbdt →
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands Inc.	C+	67/100	39.8x	26.9%	6.7%	-1.66%	$735.4M	/swbi-vs-fbdt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001892704

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Breach Inc. (FBDT) reported GAAP revenue of $384.1K (-50.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $773.9K ) , GAAP net income of -$13.8M, operating cash flow of -$3.5M, and free cash flow of -$3.5M (-119.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, FBDT closed FY2025 with $13.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$384.1K	-$13.8M	-$3.5M	-$3.5M	$13.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$773.9K	-$6.1M	-$1.6M	-$1.6M	$13.5M	—

3. FBDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FBDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First Breach Inc. (NASDAQ: FBDT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $0.95 (-3.51% 1D, market cap $53.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FBDT ranks #469 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FBDT compare to WRAP and POWW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Ordnance And Accessories), FBDT carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WRAP (Wrap Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $76.3M) and POWW (Outdoor Holding Company) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $276.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SWBI leads on earnings multiple (39.8x) while SWBI leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBDT?

Per FBDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001892704), First Breach Inc. generated $384.1K in revenue (-50.4% YoY), -$13.8M in net income, and -$3.5M in free cash flow against $13.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FBDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FBDT last traded at $0.95 (-3.51% on volume of 161,757 shares), positioning the stock -2.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.97) and -7.77% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.03). Across its 52-week range of $0.61 to $12.00, FBDT sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.07).

FBDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FBDT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, First Breach Inc. (FBDT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FBDT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for FBDT, spanning a range between $1 and $1.07.

Direct Sub-Reports: FBDT RQD Cockpit FBDT 12M Forecast FBDT Earnings & Move FBDT Dividends & DRIP FBDT Insiders & 13F FBDT Whale Options FBDT Profit Sankey FBDT News & Why