CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 1d ago
Extreme Networks: As Guidance Improves, The Stock Has Room To GrowExtreme Networks stock looks attractive after raising FY2027 guidance and strong Q1 results. Click here to read in detail about the EXTR stock.
Why EXTR Stock dropped -3.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$23.59 -3.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.40
Extreme Networks Inc. (EXTR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.12B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.40 (-0.82%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 11.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EXTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EXTR SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (29% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.2% FCF Margin ($127.3M FCF) & 62.2% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48) create a -13 pt regime headwind
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$24.19-10.2% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$21.73+1.1% Next Q
56
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$21.97+7.4% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D$23.59-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EXTR Turnaround Squeeze
While EXTR currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Strong cash generator (62% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.48) and Max Pain ($24.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.42.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EXTR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EXTR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why EXTR Stock dropped -3.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Extreme Networks Inc. (EXTR) dropped -3.48% to $23.59, trading at 50% of its 52-week range ($13.48 – $33.73). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 50% of its 52-week range ($13.48 – $33.73) with RSI-14 at 48 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.6% around $23.59 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 62.2% gross margin and $127.3M annual free cash flow.
Live EXTR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Is Arista Networks Stock Really Expensive?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Shares of broader software stocks are trading lower amid broader market weakness as Treasury yields rise, weighing on tech stocks.MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
What Extreme Networks (EXTR) Said on Its Q1 Earnings CallExtreme Networks (NASDAQ:EXTR) reported first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue growth of 10% year over year, extending its streak of double-digit growth in total revenue and product revenue to seven consecutive quarters. The
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Extreme Networks: Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot(EXTR) on Wednesday reported net income of $16 million in its fiscal first quarter.On a per-share basis, the Morrisville, North Carolina-based company said it had net income of 12 cents.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Extreme Networks, Inc. Q1 2027 Earnings Call SummaryMoby summary of Extreme Networks, Inc.'s Q1 2027 earnings call
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Extreme Networks (EXTR) Q1 2027 Earnings Call TranscriptRevenue grew 10% as Platform 1 subscriptions surged and AI adoption accelerated.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
Extreme Networks, Inc. 2027 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation2026-10-28. The following slide deck was published by Extreme Networks, Inc.
CATALYSTChartMill • 4d ago
Extreme Networks (NASDAQ:EXTR) Earnings Beat on Margins as AI Push Offsets Soft Sales GuidanceExtreme Networks (EXTR) Q1 EPS beats on margin expansion; revenue in line; stock up 7% as AI bookings and profit guidance offset soft sales outlook.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
Extreme Networks, Inc. (EXTR) Q1 2027 Earnings Call TranscriptExtreme Networks, Inc. (EXTR) Q1 2027 Earnings Call October 28, 2026 8:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsStan Kovler - Senior Vice President of Finance &...
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EXTR)
- ✓Walkthrough of EXTR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EXTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.79%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $22.79H $23.59L $22.06C $23.59VOL 2.21M
RES: $26.10SUP: $19.65SMA50: $22.48SMA200: $22.05
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
EXTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +2.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXTR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EXTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXTR)
Technology Rank #385 of 714
⚔️ DGII vs EXTR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (EXTR vs. DGII, ATEN, FFIV, ALLT)
Industry: Computer Communications Equipment (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Extreme Networks Inc. (EXTR) ranks #385 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #250 by equity capitalization ($3.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FFIV leads on earnings valuation at 29.7x trailing P/E, while ATEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.5% ROIC and 79.3% gross margin. DGII currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with EXTR at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXTR
ACTIVE
Extreme Networks Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | 62.2% | 8.6% | -3.48% | $3.12B | Benchmark Subject |
| DGII Digi International Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 72.2x | 62.9% | 5.9% | -0.83% | $2.95B | /dgii-vs-extr → |
| ATEN A10 Networks Inc. | C | 63/100 | 44.5x | 79.3% | 26.5% | -2.31% | $1.88B | /aten-vs-extr → |
| FFIV F5 Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 29.7x | 81.4% | 18.1% | -0.57% | $20.58B | /ffiv-vs-extr → |
| ALLT Allot Ltd. | D | 50/100 | 118.0x | 71.1% | 3.0% | -2.29% | $437.4M | /allt-vs-extr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001078271In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Extreme Networks Inc. (EXTR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.14B (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and -13.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.5M, operating cash flow of $152.0M, and free cash flow of $127.3M (+240.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXTR closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $154.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $1.14B | -$7.5M | $152.0M | $127.3M | $1.17B | $154.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $1.12B | -$86.0M | $55.5M | $37.4M | $1.08B | $170.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $1.31B | $78.1M | $249.2M | $249.2M | — | — |
3. EXTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EXTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Extreme Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: EXTR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $23.59 (-3.48% 1D, market cap $3.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, EXTR ranks #385 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EXTR compare to DGII and ATEN in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Communications Equipment), EXTR carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.2%, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, DGII (Digi International Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 72.2x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $2.95B) and ATEN (A10 Networks Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 44.5x, ROIC 26.5%, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FFIV leads on earnings multiple (29.7x) while ATEN leads on capital efficiency (26.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXTR?
Per EXTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001078271), Extreme Networks Inc. generated $1.14B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), -$7.5M in net income, and $127.3M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $154.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (62% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EXTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EXTR last traded at $23.59 (-3.48% on volume of 2,092,050 shares), positioning the stock +4.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($22.48) and +6.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.05). Across its 52-week range of $13.48 to $33.73, EXTR sits at the 49.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($21.33 to $25.85).
EXTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is EXTR stock moving today?
Why EXTR Stock dropped -3.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.