Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: EXOD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $5.15 (-8.69% 1D, market cap $170.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, EXOD ranks #1041 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), EXOD carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.6%. By comparison, USBC (USBC Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $169.2M) and FOA (Finance of America Companies Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 4.0x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $181.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOA leads on earnings multiple (4.0x) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).
Per EXOD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821534), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) generated $121.6M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and -$25.8M in free cash flow against $266.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While EXOD currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.74) and Max Pain ($5.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $26.75.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) dropped -8.69% to $5.15, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($4.57 – $25.48). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXOD today. View full Setup Ledger →
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Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) ranks #1041 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #911 by equity capitalization ($170.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOA leads on earnings valuation at 4.0x trailing P/E, while NSLR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.8% ROIC and — gross margin. NSLR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with EXOD at 28/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXOD
ACTIVE
Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) | E | 28/100 | — | — | -4.6% | -8.69% | $170.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| USBC USBC Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | -18.4% | -6.03% | $169.2M | /usbc-vs-exod → |
| FOA Finance of America Companies Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 54/100 | 4.0x | — | 11.4% | +0.10% | $181.5M | /foa-vs-exod → |
| TONX TON Strategy Company | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -7.8% | -7.27% | $181.7M | /tonx-vs-exod → |
| NSLR Neostellar Capital Corp. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | 23.8% | -0.84% | $158.3M | /nslr-vs-exod → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (EXOD) reported GAAP revenue of $121.6M (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $116.3M , and +116.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of -$25.6M, and free cash flow of -$25.8M (-109.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXOD closed FY2025 with $266.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $121.6M | -$11.4M | -$25.6M | -$25.8M | $266.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $116.3M | $113.0M | -$12.0M | -$12.3M | $288.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $56.2M | $12.8M | $692.0K | $692.0K | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: EXOD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $5.15 (-8.69% 1D, market cap $170.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, EXOD ranks #1041 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), EXOD carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.6%. By comparison, USBC (USBC Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $169.2M) and FOA (Finance of America Companies Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 4.0x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $181.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOA leads on earnings multiple (4.0x) while NSLR leads on capital efficiency (23.8% ROIC).
Per EXOD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001821534), Exodus Movement Inc. (Class A) generated $121.6M in revenue (+4.5% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and -$25.8M in free cash flow against $266.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
EXOD last traded at $5.15 (-8.69% on volume of 47,608 shares), positioning the stock -23.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.74) and -32.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.63). Across its 52-week range of $4.57 to $25.48, EXOD sits at the 2.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.51 to $5.79).
Why EXOD Stock dropped -8.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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