Stock Ratings / Industrials / EVTL / options

HOVR (39) MOB (50) SIF (35) DPRO (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.43 +3.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.43

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $73.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EVTL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EVTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (NYSE: EVTL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $0.43 (+3.44% 1D, market cap $73.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EVTL ranks #184 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EVTL compare to HOVR and MOB in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EVTL carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HOVR (New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 9.9x, ROIC —, cap $85.2M) and MOB (Mobilicom Limited) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVTL?

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For Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and sector rank #184 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.43 (+0.43%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EVTL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EVTL SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$0.52-23.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$0.40-5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$0.38+13.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$0.43+0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EVTL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, EVTL faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($0.57) or 200D SMA ($2.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.43) toward Bear Floor ($0.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EVTL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EVTL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (EVTL)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for EVTL.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating EVTL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on EVTL
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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EVTL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -81.62%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $0.42H $0.43L $0.38C $0.43VOL 2.65M

RES: $0.40SUP: $-0.21SMA50: $0.57SMA200: $2.23

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EVTL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EVTL Butterfly Map → + Track EVTL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EVTL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EVTL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EVTL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EVTL)

Industrials Rank #184 of 485 ⚔️ HOVR vs EVTL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EVTL vs. HOVR, MOB, SIF, DPRO)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) ranks #184 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #389 by equity capitalization ($73.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. DPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with EVTL at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EVTL ACTIVE Vertical Aerospace Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+3.44%	$73.4M	Benchmark Subject
HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share	D-	39/100	9.9x	—	—	-2.31%	$85.2M	/hovr-vs-evtl →
MOB Mobilicom Limited	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.94%	$42.5M	/mob-vs-evtl →
SIF SIFCO Industries Inc.	D-	35/100	—	12.5%	0.4%	+0.95%	$132.5M	/sif-vs-evtl →
DPRO Draganfly Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.10%	$143.4M	/dpro-vs-evtl →

2. EVTL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) operates in Aerospace (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $73.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. EVTL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EVTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does EVTL compare to HOVR and MOB in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVTL?

Where is EVTL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EVTL last traded at $0.43 (+3.44% on volume of 2,298,331 shares), positioning the stock -24.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.57) and -80.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.23). Across its 52-week range of $0.34 to $7.33, EVTL sits at the 1.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.48).

EVTL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is EVTL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for EVTL.

Direct Sub-Reports: EVTL RQD Cockpit EVTL 12M Forecast EVTL Earnings & Move EVTL Dividends & DRIP EVTL Insiders & 13F EVTL Whale Options EVTL Profit Sankey EVTL News & Why