Eve Holding Inc. (EVEX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.62 -1.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.61

Eve Holding Inc. (EVEX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $564.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.61 (-0.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.3% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE EVEX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EVEX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EVEX SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$1.67-3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$1.62+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$1.64-1.2% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$1.62-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EVEX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EVEX currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.95) and Max Pain ($1.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.42.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EVEX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EVEX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.20 Expected Swing
$1.42 (-12.5%)Spot $1.62$1.82 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

EVEX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 38/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (38/100)Model Risk Weight (62/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$224.3M-$173.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$138.2M-$141.2M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$127.7M-$94.5M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EVEX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EVEX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EVEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.75%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $1.59H $1.62L $1.46C $1.62VOL 1.80M
RES: $1.71SUP: $1.23SMA50: $1.95SMA200: $2.67
$4.27$3.49$2.71$1.94$1.16RES $1.71SUP $1.23$1.622026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EVEX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EVEX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EVEX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EVEX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EVEX)

Industrials Rank #392 of 485 ⚔️ TATT vs EVEX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EVEX vs. TATT, EH, AVEX, AIRO)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Eve Holding Inc. (EVEX) ranks #392 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #289 by equity capitalization ($564.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TATT leads on earnings valuation at 25.9x trailing P/E, while TATT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. TATT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with EVEX at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EVEX ACTIVE
Eve Holding Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -1.22% $564.5M Benchmark Subject
TATT
TAT Technologies Ltd.
B 72/100 25.9x 24.8% 11.0% +2.89% $434.9M /tatt-vs-evex →
EH
EHang Holdings Limited ADS
E 26/100 — 61.5% -27.9% -0.27% $278.4M /eh-vs-evex →
AVEX
AEVEX Corp. (Class A)
C- 59/100 — — — +10.17% $1.70B /avex-vs-evex →
AIRO
AIRO Group Holdings Inc.
D- 36/100 — 59.9% -3.1% +6.67% $171.7M /airo-vs-evex →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001823652

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Eve Holding Inc. (EVEX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$224.3M, operating cash flow of -$160.4M, and free cash flow of -$173.0M (-22.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EVEX closed FY2025 with $434.9M in total assets against $176.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$224.3M -$160.4M -$173.0M $434.9M $176.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$138.2M -$136.0M -$141.2M $318.2M $132.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$127.7M -$94.5M -$94.5M — —

3. EVEX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EVEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Eve Holding Inc. (NYSE: EVEX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.62 (-1.22% 1D, market cap $564.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EVEX ranks #392 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EVEX compare to TATT and EH in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EVEX carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TATT (TAT Technologies Ltd.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 25.9x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $434.9M) and EH (EHang Holdings Limited ADS) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.9%, cap $278.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TATT leads on earnings multiple (25.9x) while TATT leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EVEX?

Per EVEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001823652), Eve Holding Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$224.3M in net income, and -$173.0M in free cash flow against $434.9M in total assets and $176.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EVEX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EVEX last traded at $1.62 (-1.22% on volume of 903,884 shares), positioning the stock -16.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.95) and -39.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.67). Across its 52-week range of $1.41 to $5.16, EVEX sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.42 to $1.82).

EVEX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is EVEX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Eve Holding Inc. (EVEX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is EVEX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for EVEX, spanning a range between $1.42 and $1.82.

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