MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
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Why ESCA Stock surged +8.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$20.14 +8.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.50
Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (27% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B+ • BUY
Cap $277.2M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ESCA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ESCA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Escalade Incorporated (NASDAQ: ESCA) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $20.14 (+8.63% 1D, market cap $277.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ESCA ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ESCA compare to AOUT and BBW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), ESCA carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of 8.0%. By comparison, AOUT (American Outdoor Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $231.6M) and BBW (Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $338.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESCA?
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Per ESCA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000033488), Escalade Incorporated generated $240.2M in revenue (-4.5% YoY), $13.7M in net income, and $28.5M in free cash flow against $222.1M in total assets and $11.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.50 (+1.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 11.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk A
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESCA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ESCA SCORES 79/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 6.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 75% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 7.8% operating margin leave 7 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$18.64-0.8% Next Q
71
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$18.49+0.3% Next Q
74
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B+$18.54+8.6% Next Q
76
CurrentGrade B+$20.14+8.1% Hist 90D α
79
Trajectory: B (71) → B+ (79)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ESCA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, ESCA faces multiple-compression risk if 20.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 24.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.40) or 200D SMA ($18.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.04) toward Bear Floor ($16.51).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESCA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ESCA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ESCA Stock surged +8.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) surged +8.63% to $20.14, trading at 75% of its 52-week range ($11.49 – $23.07). High-quality cash engine (27% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 75% of its 52-week range ($11.49 – $23.07) with RSI-14 at 58 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.6% around $20.14 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 26.9% gross margin and $28.5M annual free cash flow.
Live ESCA Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ESCA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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ESCA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.70%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $20.14H $20.30L $19.43C $20.14VOL 34.5K
RES: $24.66SUP: $17.50SMA50: $19.40SMA200: $18.14
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ESCA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESCA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESCA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESCA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESCA)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #42 of 1011
⚔️ AOUT vs ESCA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ESCA vs. AOUT, BBW, JAKK, FNKO)
Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) ranks #42 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #658 by equity capitalization ($277.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. BBW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with ESCA at 79/100 (B+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESCA
ACTIVE
Escalade Incorporated | B+ | 79/100 | 20.2x | 26.9% | 8.0% | +8.63% | $277.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| AOUT American Outdoor Brands Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 44.7% | -4.6% | +1.52% | $231.6M | /aout-vs-esca → |
| BBW Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc. | A- | 83/100 | 6.5x | 55.8% | 33.7% | +9.18% | $338.5M | /bbw-vs-esca → |
| JAKK JAKKS Pacific Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 96.0% | 5.7% | -0.62% | $372.0M | /jakk-vs-esca → |
| FNKO Funko Inc. (Class A) | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -10.4% | +1.52% | $374.6M | /fnko-vs-esca → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000033488In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) reported GAAP revenue of $240.2M (-4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $251.5M , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.7M, operating cash flow of $31.0M, and free cash flow of $28.5M (-16.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESCA closed FY2025 with $222.1M in total assets against $11.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $240.2M | $13.7M | $31.0M | $28.5M | $222.1M | $11.3M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $251.5M | $13.0M | $36.0M | $34.0M | $226.3M | $18.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $263.6M | $9.8M | $48.3M | $48.3M | — | — |
3. ESCA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ESCA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Escalade Incorporated (NASDAQ: ESCA) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $20.14 (+8.63% 1D, market cap $277.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ESCA ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ESCA compare to AOUT and BBW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), ESCA carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of 8.0%. By comparison, AOUT (American Outdoor Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $231.6M) and BBW (Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $338.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESCA?
Per ESCA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000033488), Escalade Incorporated generated $240.2M in revenue (-4.5% YoY), $13.7M in net income, and $28.5M in free cash flow against $222.1M in total assets and $11.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ESCA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ESCA last traded at $20.14 (+8.63% on volume of 56,127 shares), positioning the stock +3.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.40) and +11.03% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.14). Across its 52-week range of $11.49 to $23.07, ESCA sits at the 74.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($18.81 to $21.47).
ESCA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ESCA stock moving today?
Why ESCA Stock surged +8.63% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (27% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support.