Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$20.14 +8.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.50

Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (27% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $277.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.50 (+1.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 11.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510079
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk A
Cash (13)Whales (14)SEC (18)Macro (18)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.4% Base Target
$26 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE ESCA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESCA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ESCA SCORES 79/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 75% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.8% operating margin leave 7 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$18.64-0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$18.49+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$18.54+8.6% Next Q
Current
79
Grade B+$20.14+8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → B+ (79)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ESCA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, ESCA faces multiple-compression risk if 20.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 24.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.40) or 200D SMA ($18.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.04) toward Bear Floor ($16.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESCA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ESCA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ESCA Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ESCA)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ESCA. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ESCA Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ESCA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.70%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $20.14H $20.30L $19.43C $20.14VOL 34.5K
RES: $24.66SUP: $17.50SMA50: $19.40SMA200: $18.14
$23.71$21.05$18.39$15.73$13.06RES $24.66SUP $17.50$20.142026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESCA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESCA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESCA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESCA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESCA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #42 of 1011 ⚔️ AOUT vs ESCA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ESCA vs. AOUT, BBW, JAKK, FNKO)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) ranks #42 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #658 by equity capitalization ($277.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBW leads on earnings valuation at 6.5x trailing P/E, while BBW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.7% ROIC and 55.8% gross margin. BBW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with ESCA at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ESCA ACTIVE
Escalade Incorporated
B+ 79/100 20.2x 26.9% 8.0% +8.63% $277.2M Benchmark Subject
AOUT
American Outdoor Brands Inc.
D+ 55/100 — 44.7% -4.6% +1.52% $231.6M /aout-vs-esca →
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.
A- 83/100 6.5x 55.8% 33.7% +9.18% $338.5M /bbw-vs-esca →
JAKK
JAKKS Pacific Inc.
E 33/100 — 96.0% 5.7% -0.62% $372.0M /jakk-vs-esca →
FNKO
Funko Inc. (Class A)
D- 40/100 — — -10.4% +1.52% $374.6M /fnko-vs-esca →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000033488

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Escalade Incorporated (ESCA) reported GAAP revenue of $240.2M (-4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $251.5M , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.7M, operating cash flow of $31.0M, and free cash flow of $28.5M (-16.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESCA closed FY2025 with $222.1M in total assets against $11.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $240.2M $13.7M $31.0M $28.5M $222.1M $11.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $251.5M $13.0M $36.0M $34.0M $226.3M $18.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $263.6M $9.8M $48.3M $48.3M — —

3. ESCA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESCA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Escalade Incorporated (NASDAQ: ESCA) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $20.14 (+8.63% 1D, market cap $277.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ESCA ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESCA compare to AOUT and BBW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), ESCA carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of 8.0%. By comparison, AOUT (American Outdoor Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $231.6M) and BBW (Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc.) posts a A- grade (83/100 RQD, P/E 6.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $338.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBW leads on earnings multiple (6.5x) while BBW leads on capital efficiency (33.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESCA?

Per ESCA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000033488), Escalade Incorporated generated $240.2M in revenue (-4.5% YoY), $13.7M in net income, and $28.5M in free cash flow against $222.1M in total assets and $11.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESCA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESCA last traded at $20.14 (+8.63% on volume of 56,127 shares), positioning the stock +3.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.40) and +11.03% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.14). Across its 52-week range of $11.49 to $23.07, ESCA sits at the 74.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($18.81 to $21.47).

ESCA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ESCA insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ESCA leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

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