MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why EROK Stock slipped -1.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$20.38 -1.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.28
EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) (EROK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.68B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.28 (-0.49%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EROK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EROK SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 33% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$21.91-19.8% Next Q
65
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$17.57+3.8% Next Q
62
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$18.24+11.7% Next Q
60
CurrentGrade D+$20.38-0.2% Hist 90D α
57
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EROK Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, EROK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.33) or 200D SMA ($22.18) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.29) toward Bear Floor ($15.83).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EROK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EROK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why EROK Stock slipped -1.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) (EROK) slipped -1.69% to $20.38, trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($16.99 – $27.42). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($16.99 – $27.42) with RSI-14 at 46.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $20.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $75.1M annual free cash flow.
Live EROK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EROK)
- ✓Walkthrough of EROK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
EROK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.68%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $20.16H $21.05L $19.59C $20.38VOL 171.5K
RES: $29.56SUP: $16.69SMA50: $22.33SMA200: $22.18
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
EROK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EROK today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EROK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EROK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EROK)
Energy Rank #112 of 211
⚔️ GPOR vs EROK Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EROK vs. GPOR, NOG, TALO, BKV)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) (EROK) ranks #112 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #113 by equity capitalization ($2.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPOR leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GPOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 74.8% gross margin. GPOR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with EROK at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EROK
ACTIVE
EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -1.69% | $2.68B | Benchmark Subject |
| GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation | B | 74/100 | 6.8x | 74.8% | 18.1% | -0.42% | $2.92B | /gpor-vs-erok → |
| NOG Northern Oil and Gas Inc. | D | 49/100 | 76.4x | 80.9% | 9.2% | -1.00% | $2.96B | /nog-vs-erok → |
| TALO Talos Energy Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | — | -14.6% | -2.20% | $2.97B | /talo-vs-erok → |
| BKV BKV Corporation | D | 49/100 | 12.8x | — | 9.0% | -1.09% | $2.29B | /bkv-vs-erok → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002104882In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) (EROK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, EROK closed FY2025 with $282.0M in total assets against $294.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $282.0M | $294.6M |
3. EROK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EROK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) (NYSE: EROK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $20.38 (-1.69% 1D, market cap $2.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EROK ranks #112 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EROK compare to GPOR and NOG in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EROK carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $2.92B) and NOG (Northern Oil and Gas Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 76.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $2.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EROK?
Per EROK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002104882), EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $282.0M in total assets and $294.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EROK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EROK last traded at $20.38 (-1.69% on volume of 136,788 shares), positioning the stock -8.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.33) and -8.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.18). Across its 52-week range of $16.99 to $27.42, EROK sits at the 32.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($17.83 to $22.93).
EROK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is EROK stock moving today?
Why EROK Stock slipped -1.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.