Stock Ratings / Technology / ERII / dividends

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Energy Recovery Inc. (ERII) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$7.12 +2.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.17

Energy Recovery Inc. (ERII) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (65% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $363.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ERII Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ERII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Energy Recovery Inc. (NASDAQ: ERII) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $7.12 (+2.45% 1D, market cap $363.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ERII ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ERII compare to MPTI and NANO in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ERII carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of 65.1%, and ROIC of 11.9%. By comparison, MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 35.5x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $300.0M) and NANO (Forge Nano Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $535.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERII leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ERII?

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Per ERII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001421517), Energy Recovery Inc. generated $135.0M in revenue (-6.9% YoY), $23.0M in net income, and $17.4M in free cash flow against $231.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.17 (+0.68%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 12.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ERII)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ERII SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 11.16 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-7 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$6.84-2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$6.65+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$6.68+6.6% Next Q

Current

Grade B$7.12+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ERII Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, ERII faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 62.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.10) or 200D SMA ($9.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.57) toward Bear Floor ($5.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ERII• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ERII Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ERII & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ERII and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ERII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.68%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $7.06H $7.12L $6.92C $7.12VOL 1.25M

RES: $8.25SUP: $5.90SMA50: $7.10SMA200: $9.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ERII Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ERII Butterfly Map → + Track ERII →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ERII today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ERII. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ERII today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ERII)

Technology Rank #78 of 714 ⚔️ MPTI vs ERII Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ERII vs. MPTI, NANO, ASYS, VELO)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Energy Recovery Inc. (ERII) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #434 by equity capitalization ($363.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ERII leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ERII currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ERII ACTIVE Energy Recovery Inc.	B	72/100	15.8x	65.1%	11.9%	+2.45%	$363.4M	Benchmark Subject
MPTI M-tron Industries Inc.	C+	66/100	35.5x	—	19.2%	-0.56%	$300.0M	/mpti-vs-erii →
NANO Forge Nano Holdings Inc.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-1.42%	$535.2M	/nano-vs-erii →
ASYS Amtech Systems Inc.	D	45/100	—	34.0%	-35.0%	-0.07%	$239.5M	/asys-vs-erii →
VELO Velo3D Inc.	D-	42/100	—	-16.1%	-35.0%	+1.14%	$227.3M	/velo-vs-erii →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001421517

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Energy Recovery Inc. (ERII) reported GAAP revenue of $135.0M (-6.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $144.9M , and +5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.0M, operating cash flow of $18.8M, and free cash flow of $17.4M (-9.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ERII closed FY2025 with $231.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.16, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$135.0M	$23.0M	$18.8M	$17.4M	$231.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$144.9M	$23.1M	$20.5M	$19.2M	$242.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$128.3M	$21.5M	$26.1M	$26.1M	—	—

3. ERII Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ERII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ERII compare to MPTI and NANO in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ERII?

Where is ERII trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ERII last traded at $7.12 (+2.45% on volume of 703,664 shares), positioning the stock +0.28% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.10) and -25.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.60). Across its 52-week range of $6.55 to $17.36, ERII sits at the 5.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($6.67 to $7.57).

ERII Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ERII pay a dividend and is it safe?

Energy Recovery Inc. (ERII) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: ERII RQD Cockpit ERII 12M Forecast ERII Earnings & Move ERII Dividends & DRIP ERII Insiders & 13F ERII Whale Options ERII Profit Sankey ERII News & Why