Equillium Inc. (EQ) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.37 -3.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.36

Equillium Inc. (EQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $111.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Equillium Inc. (NASDAQ: EQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.37 (-3.52% 1D, market cap $111.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, EQ ranks #478 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EQ compare to ANIX and TLSA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), EQ carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ANIX (Anixa Biosciences Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $114.7M) and TLSA (Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $115.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EQ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EQ leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EQ?
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Per EQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001746466), Equillium Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), -$22.4M in net income, and -$22.8M in free cash flow against $31.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.36 (-0.82%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE EQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EQ SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$1.41-15.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$1.19+3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$1.23+11.4% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$1.37-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EQ currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.77) and Max Pain ($1.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EQ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.17 Expected Swing
$1.20 (-12.5%)Spot $1.37$1.54 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

EQ Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 42/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (42/100)Model Risk Weight (58/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$22.4M-$22.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$41.1M-$8.1M-$19.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$36.1M-$13.3M-$21.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EQ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.84%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.38H $1.42L $1.29C $1.37VOL 310.6K
RES: $2.08SUP: $0.94SMA50: $1.77SMA200: $2.08
$3.71$3.02$2.33$1.64$0.95RES $2.08SUP $0.94$1.372026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EQ)

Health Care Rank #478 of 1016 ⚔️ ANIX vs EQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (EQ vs. ANIX, TLSA, NRXP, NERV)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Equillium Inc. (EQ) ranks #478 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #646 by equity capitalization ($111.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EQ leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. TLSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with EQ at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EQ ACTIVE
Equillium Inc.
D- 42/100 — — -35.0% -3.52% $111.3M Benchmark Subject
ANIX
Anixa Biosciences Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -5.45% $114.7M /anix-vs-eq →
TLSA
Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd.
D+ 55/100 — — — -11.57% $115.1M /tlsa-vs-eq →
NRXP
NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 36/100 — 58.8% -35.0% -14.66% $115.2M /nrxp-vs-eq →
NERV
Minerva Neurosciences Inc
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% +3.57% $107.0M /nerv-vs-eq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001746466

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Equillium Inc. (EQ) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.1M , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$22.4M, operating cash flow of -$22.7M, and free cash flow of -$22.8M (-19.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, EQ closed FY2025 with $31.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$22.4M -$22.7M -$22.8M $31.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $41.1M -$8.1M -$19.0M -$19.1M $25.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $36.1M -$13.3M -$21.8M -$21.8M — —

3. EQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Equillium Inc. (NASDAQ: EQ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.37 (-3.52% 1D, market cap $111.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, EQ ranks #478 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EQ compare to ANIX and TLSA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), EQ carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ANIX (Anixa Biosciences Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $114.7M) and TLSA (Tiziana Life Sciences Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $115.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EQ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EQ leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EQ?

Per EQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001746466), Equillium Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), -$22.4M in net income, and -$22.8M in free cash flow against $31.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EQ last traded at $1.37 (-3.52% on volume of 310,727 shares), positioning the stock -22.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.77) and -34.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.08). Across its 52-week range of $0.76 to $3.54, EQ sits at the 21.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.20 to $1.54).

EQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is EQ's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Equillium Inc. (EQ)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is EQ stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for EQ, spanning a range between $1.2 and $1.54.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EQ — Equillium Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:40Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, EQ scores 42 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 8 out of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -20.48%; for a prospective investor, this means the business is currently consuming cash rather than generating it, so any valuation rests on future execution rather than present earnings power. The whale/13F flow pillar scores 9 out of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, a modest signal that does not offset the weaker fundamentals. The insider conviction pillar scores 3 out of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the lowest pillar, which signals limited insider-driven confidence in the source data. The macro regime fit pillar scores 12 out of 20 with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted, indicating market-level volatility is roughly in line with the broad market. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 out of 20, with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5; the weak Piotroski reading is the most important red flag for an investor weighing the stock today. Upside drivers would require evidence of cash-flow inflection and improved forensic scores; the valuation tradeoff is that a market capitalization of $111.3M against negative cash generation leaves little margin of safety in the current framework.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-23.6M$-22.4MN/A$-22.8M$30.3MN/A
FY 2024$41.1M$-8.3M$-8.1MN/A$-19.1M$18.1MN/A
FY 2023$36.1M$-14.5M$-13.3MN/A$-21.8MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1 out of 9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5. Reported operating losses persist across all three periods, and FY 2025 cash of $30.3M is the highest cash figure in the table, though the source does not provide a debt figure to assess net liquidity.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, commercial partners, and revenue model, given that FY 2025 revenue is reported as $0.0M?
  • What is the debt balance, since the debt field is N/A across all periods, and how does it affect net liquidity?
  • What drove the decline in revenue from $41.1M in FY 2024 to $0.0M in FY 2025?
  • What are the EPS figures, since EPS is N/A across all reported periods?
  • What institutional, insider, and options positioning exists, given that holder data is absent?

EQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Equillium Inc. (EQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.37?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EQ 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EQ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.21 (-11.7%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EQ (D- • RQD 42/100) a Buy at $1.37?

Welcome to the EQ (Equillium Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.05 (-23.4%)
Spot @ $1.37

Pump the brakes on EQ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EQ, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Equillium Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.73 (+26.3%)
Spot @ $1.37

EQ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EQ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.37 (52-wk range $0.76 - $3.54), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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