MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why ELLO Stock dropped -9.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$20.97 -9.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.58
Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $289.0M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ELLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (NYSE: ELLO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $20.97 (-9.22% 1D, market cap $289.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, ELLO ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ELLO compare to GFUZ and FISN in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), ELLO carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GFUZ (General Fusion Group Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $413.7M) and FISN (Deep Fission Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $179.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HNRG leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while HNRG leads on capital efficiency (26.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELLO?
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For Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #77 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.58 (-1.85%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ELLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ELLO SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($8.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$21.80-3.4% Next Q
57
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$21.06-2.1% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$20.62+1.7% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D$20.97-5.4% Hist 90D α
49
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ELLO Turnaround Squeeze
While ELLO currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.30) and Max Pain ($22.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.86.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ELLO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ELLO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ELLO Stock dropped -9.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO) dropped -9.22% to $20.97, trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($17.5 – $30.34). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 27% of its 52-week range ($17.5 – $30.34) with RSI-14 at 44.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.6% around $20.97 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $8.1M annual free cash flow.
Live ELLO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ELLO)
- ✓Walkthrough of ELLO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ELLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.18%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $21.17H $21.17L $20.40C $20.97VOL 900
RES: $24.22SUP: $18.47SMA50: $21.30SMA200: $22.83
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ELLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELLO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ELLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ELLO)
Utilities Rank #77 of 117
⚔️ GFUZ vs ELLO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (ELLO vs. GFUZ, FISN, HNRG, ONEN)
Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO) ranks #77 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #95 by equity capitalization ($289.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HNRG leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while HNRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.9% ROIC and — gross margin. HNRG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ELLO at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELLO
ACTIVE
Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -9.22% | $289.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| GFUZ General Fusion Group Ltd. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +7.25% | $413.7M | /gfuz-vs-ello → |
| FISN Deep Fission Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -8.16% | $179.1M | /fisn-vs-ello → |
| HNRG Hallador Energy Company | C- | 61/100 | 13.2x | — | 26.9% | -1.35% | $553.0M | /hnrg-vs-ello → |
| ONEN ONE Nuclear Energy Inc. | E | 30/100 | 39.3x | — | -35.0% | -10.07% | $145.1M | /onen-vs-ello → |
2. ELLO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTEllomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO) operates in Electric Utilities: Central (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $289.0M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. ELLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ELLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (NYSE: ELLO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $20.97 (-9.22% 1D, market cap $289.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, ELLO ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ELLO compare to GFUZ and FISN in the Utilities sector?
Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), ELLO carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GFUZ (General Fusion Group Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $413.7M) and FISN (Deep Fission Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $179.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HNRG leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while HNRG leads on capital efficiency (26.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELLO?
For Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #77 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ELLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ELLO last traded at $20.97 (-9.22% on volume of 1,073 shares), positioning the stock -1.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.30) and -8.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.83). Across its 52-week range of $17.50 to $30.34, ELLO sits at the 27.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($20.01 to $21.93).
ELLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ELLO stock moving today?
Why ELLO Stock dropped -9.22% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.