Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$20.97 -9.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.58

Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $289.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.58 (-1.85%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$32 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE ELLO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ELLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ELLO SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($8.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$21.80-3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$21.06-2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$20.62+1.7% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$20.97-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ELLO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ELLO currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.30) and Max Pain ($22.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.86.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ELLO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ELLO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ELLO Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ELLO)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ELLO. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ELLO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ELLO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ELLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.18%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-10-30O $21.17H $21.17L $20.40C $20.97VOL 900
RES: $24.22SUP: $18.47SMA50: $21.30SMA200: $22.83
$28.74$25.69$22.65$19.60$16.56RES $24.22SUP $18.47$20.972026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ELLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELLO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ELLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ELLO)

Utilities Rank #77 of 117 ⚔️ GFUZ vs ELLO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (ELLO vs. GFUZ, FISN, HNRG, ONEN)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO) ranks #77 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #95 by equity capitalization ($289.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HNRG leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while HNRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.9% ROIC and — gross margin. HNRG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ELLO at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ELLO ACTIVE
Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel)
D 49/100 — — — -9.22% $289.0M Benchmark Subject
GFUZ
General Fusion Group Ltd.
D 44/100 — — -35.0% +7.25% $413.7M /gfuz-vs-ello →
FISN
Deep Fission Inc.
D 47/100 — — — -8.16% $179.1M /fisn-vs-ello →
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
C- 61/100 13.2x — 26.9% -1.35% $553.0M /hnrg-vs-ello →
ONEN
ONE Nuclear Energy Inc.
E 30/100 39.3x — -35.0% -10.07% $145.1M /onen-vs-ello →

2. ELLO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO) operates in Electric Utilities: Central (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $289.0M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ELLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ELLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (NYSE: ELLO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $20.97 (-9.22% 1D, market cap $289.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, ELLO ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ELLO compare to GFUZ and FISN in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), ELLO carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GFUZ (General Fusion Group Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $413.7M) and FISN (Deep Fission Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $179.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HNRG leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while HNRG leads on capital efficiency (26.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELLO?

For Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel) (ELLO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #77 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ELLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ELLO last traded at $20.97 (-9.22% on volume of 1,073 shares), positioning the stock -1.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.30) and -8.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.83). Across its 52-week range of $17.50 to $30.34, ELLO sits at the 27.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($20.01 to $21.93).

ELLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ELLO insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ELLO leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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