Edible Garden AG Incorporated (EDBL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.76 +7.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.77

Edible Garden AG Incorporated (EDBL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.77 (+1.18%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (15)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.3% Base Target
$803 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE EDBL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EDBL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EDBL SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 21 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$1.07-15% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$0.91-7.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$0.84-9.5% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$0.76-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EDBL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EDBL currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.19) and Max Pain ($0.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $803.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EDBL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EDBL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.10 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.76$0.86 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

EDBL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -7.6%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$12.8M-$17.3M-$12.4M-1.6%
FY 20242024-12-31$13.9M-$11.1M-$8.8M16.7%
FY 20232023-12-31$14.0M-$10.2M-$8.5M8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EDBL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EDBL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EDBL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -96.75%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.70H $0.77L $0.69C $0.76VOL 1.17M
SUP: $0.66SMA50: $1.19SMA200: $46.40
$554.9$404.7$254.5$104.3$-45.93SUP $0.66$0.762026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EDBL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EDBL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EDBL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EDBL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EDBL)

Consumer Staples Rank #103 of 146 ⚔️ NCRA vs EDBL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (EDBL vs. NCRA, MGN, AGRZ, SEED)

Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Edible Garden AG Incorporated (EDBL) ranks #103 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #144 by equity capitalization ($1.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGN leads on earnings valuation at 22.8x trailing P/E, while MGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.0% ROIC and 1.7% gross margin. AGRZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with EDBL at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EDBL ACTIVE
Edible Garden AG Incorporated
D 47/100 — -1.6% -35.0% +7.59% $1.5M Benchmark Subject
NCRA
Nocera Inc.
D- 43/100 — 1.5% — +3.45% $3.6M /ncra-vs-edbl →
MGN
Megan Holdings Limited (Class A)
D- 43/100 22.8x 1.7% 1.0% +11.42% $4.9M /mgn-vs-edbl →
AGRZ
Agroz Inc. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 — — — -2.22% $5.3M /agrz-vs-edbl →
SEED
Origin Agritech Limited
D 50/100 — 7.0% — -4.93% $10.6M /seed-vs-edbl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001809750

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Edible Garden AG Incorporated (EDBL) reported GAAP revenue of $12.8M (-7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $13.9M , and -8.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.3M, operating cash flow of -$11.8M, and free cash flow of -$12.4M (-41.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, EDBL closed FY2025 with $20.6M in total assets against $215.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.8M -$17.3M -$11.8M -$12.4M $20.6M $215.0K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $13.9M -$11.1M -$8.5M -$8.8M $11.9M $544.0K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.0M -$10.2M -$8.5M -$8.5M — —

3. EDBL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EDBL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Edible Garden AG Incorporated (NASDAQ: EDBL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $0.76 (+7.59% 1D, market cap $1.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, EDBL ranks #103 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EDBL compare to NCRA and MGN in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), EDBL carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -1.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NCRA (Nocera Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.6M) and MGN (Megan Holdings Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 1.0%, cap $4.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGN leads on earnings multiple (22.8x) while MGN leads on capital efficiency (1.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EDBL?

Per EDBL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001809750), Edible Garden AG Incorporated generated $12.8M in revenue (-7.6% YoY), -$17.3M in net income, and -$12.4M in free cash flow against $20.6M in total assets and $215.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EDBL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EDBL last traded at $0.76 (+7.59% on volume of 87,367 shares), positioning the stock -36.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.19) and -98.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.40). Across its 52-week range of $0.69 to $765.00, EDBL sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.86).

EDBL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is EDBL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Edible Garden AG Incorporated (EDBL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is EDBL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for EDBL, spanning a range between $1 and $0.86.

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