Stock Ratings / Financials / DX / dividends

DRH (67) AKR (63) CXW (56) PEB (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$10.89 +0.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.88

Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.83B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-01, Dynex Capital Inc. (NYSE: DX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $10.89 (+0.55% 1D, market cap $2.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, DX ranks #697 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DX compare to DRH and AKR in the Financials sector?

▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), DX carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.0%. By comparison, DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 29.2x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $2.96B) and AKR (Acadia Realty Trust) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 155.0x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $2.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRH leads on earnings multiple (29.2x) while DRH leads on capital efficiency (7.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DX?

▼

Per DX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000826675), Dynex Capital Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $319.1K in net income, and $120.8M in free cash flow against $17.34B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.88 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DX SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$10.86+0.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$10.93-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$10.92-0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$10.89-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, DX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.71) or 200D SMA ($12.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.74) toward Bear Floor ($8.38).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

10.52% Total Yield

8.72% Cash ($0.95/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $42,249

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $4,445/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.6K

Yr 1

$13.3K

Yr 2

$15.4K

Yr 3

$17.8K

Yr 4

$20.6K

Yr 5

$23.7K

Yr 6

$27.4K

Yr 7

$31.7K

Yr 8

$36.6K

Yr 9

$42.2K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DX)

✓Walkthrough of DX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $10.90H $10.97L $10.59C $10.89VOL 5.75M

RES: $12.43SUP: $9.85SMA50: $11.71SMA200: $12.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DX Butterfly Map → + Track DX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DX)

Financials Rank #697 of 1096 ⚔️ DRH vs DX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (DX vs. DRH, AKR, CXW, PEB)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) ranks #697 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #377 by equity capitalization ($2.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DRH leads on earnings valuation at 29.2x trailing P/E, while DRH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.0% ROIC and — gross margin. DRH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with DX at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DX ACTIVE Dynex Capital Inc.	D+	55/100	—	—	0.0%	+0.55%	$2.83B	Benchmark Subject
DRH Diamondrock Hospitality Company	C+	67/100	29.2x	—	7.0%	+1.40%	$2.96B	/drh-vs-dx →
AKR Acadia Realty Trust	C	63/100	155.0x	—	1.8%	+2.42%	$2.62B	/akr-vs-dx →
CXW CoreCivic Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	+1.47%	$3.07B	/cxw-vs-dx →
PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of	D	46/100	—	—	1.5%	+1.16%	$2.45B	/peb-vs-dx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000826675

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $319.1K, operating cash flow of $120.8M, and free cash flow of $120.8M (+739.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DX closed FY2025 with $17.34B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$319.1K	$120.8M	$120.8M	$17.34B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$113.9M	$14.4M	$14.4M	$8.18B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$6.1M	$62.2M	$62.2M	—	—

3. DX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DX compare to DRH and AKR in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DX?

Where is DX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DX last traded at $10.89 (+0.55% on volume of 5,387,742 shares), positioning the stock -7.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.71) and -15.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.91). Across its 52-week range of $10.31 to $14.93, DX sits at the 12.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($10.28 to $11.50).

DX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does DX pay a dividend and is it safe?

Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) offers a 8.72% cash dividend yield ($0.95 annualized) and 10.52% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: DX RQD Cockpit DX 12M Forecast DX Earnings & Move DX Dividends & DRIP DX Insiders & 13F DX Whale Options DX Profit Sankey DX News & Why