Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DORM / earnings

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Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.4% Move

$133.67 +3.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $134.72

Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (42% profit margin, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.94B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DORM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DORM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Dorman Products Inc. (NASDAQ: DORM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $133.67 (+3.03% 1D, market cap $3.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DORM ranks #153 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DORM compare to ATMU and GTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DORM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.3x, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of 12.9%. By comparison, ATMU (Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 34.6%, cap $3.79B) and GTX (Garrett Motion Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 13.5x, ROIC 69.2%, cap $4.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GNTX leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while GTX leads on capital efficiency (69.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DORM?

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Per DORM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000868780), Dorman Products Inc. generated $2.13B in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $204.2M in net income, and $75.7M in free cash flow against $2.49B in total assets and $402.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $134.73 (+0.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DORM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DORM SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 62% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 69.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 14.1% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$120.40+2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$123.89+1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$125.24+6.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$133.67+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DORM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, DORM faces multiple-compression risk if 19.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 39.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($125.64) or 200D SMA ($123.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($141.49) toward Bear Floor ($109.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DORM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DORM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.4% Swing Band

±$9.89 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DORM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $6.92 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.13B	$204.2M	$75.7M	42.1%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.01B	$190.0M	$191.6M	40.1%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.93B	$129.3M	$208.8M	42.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating DORM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on DORM
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DORM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.81%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $134.2H $136.4L $130.0C $133.7VOL 280.1K

RES: $173.3SUP: $119.6SMA50: $125.6SMA200: $123.4

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DORM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DORM Butterfly Map → + Track DORM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DORM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DORM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DORM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DORM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #153 of 1011 ⚔️ ATMU vs DORM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DORM vs. ATMU, GTX, GNTX, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) ranks #153 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #319 by equity capitalization ($3.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GNTX leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while GTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.2% ROIC and 20.4% gross margin. ATMU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with DORM at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DORM ACTIVE Dorman Products Inc.	B-	71/100	19.3x	42.1%	12.9%	+3.03%	$3.94B	Benchmark Subject
ATMU Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.	B+	77/100	18.3x	28.2%	34.6%	+3.04%	$3.79B	/atmu-vs-dorm →
GTX Garrett Motion Inc.	C-	61/100	13.5x	20.4%	69.2%	+0.67%	$4.19B	/gtx-vs-dorm →
GNTX Gentex Corporation	C+	66/100	11.1x	34.2%	14.8%	+0.95%	$4.27B	/gntx-vs-dorm →
VGNT Versigent PLC	D+	53/100	—	—	—	+2.00%	$3.00B	/vgnt-vs-dorm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000868780

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) reported GAAP revenue of $2.13B (+6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.01B , and +10.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $204.2M, operating cash flow of $113.6M, and free cash flow of $75.7M (-60.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DORM closed FY2025 with $2.49B in total assets against $402.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.13B	$204.2M	$113.6M	$75.7M	$2.49B	$402.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.01B	$190.0M	$231.0M	$191.6M	$2.42B	$439.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.93B	$129.3M	$208.8M	$208.8M	—	—

3. DORM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DORM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DORM compare to ATMU and GTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DORM?

Where is DORM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DORM last traded at $133.67 (+3.03% on volume of 308,754 shares), positioning the stock +6.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($125.64) and +8.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($123.41). Across its 52-week range of $98.45 to $155.37, DORM sits at the 61.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($123.78 to $143.56).