Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / DNUT / earnings

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Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.5% Move

$3.20 +4.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.22

Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $555.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.22 (+0.70%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DNUT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DNUT SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (39% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.96+2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.02-6.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.82+13.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$3.20-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (28) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DNUT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DNUT currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.12) and Max Pain ($3.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DNUT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DNUT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.5% Swing Band

±$0.27 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DNUT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 36/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -8.6%

Model Bullish Setup (36/100)Model Risk Weight (64/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-28	$1.52B	-$523.8M	-$64.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-29	$1.67B	$3.8M	-$75.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.69B	-$36.6M	$45.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DNUT)

✓Walkthrough of DNUT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DNUT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.78%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $3.22H $3.30L $3.20C $3.20VOL 3.76M

RES: $3.03SUP: $2.80SMA50: $3.12SMA200: $3.34

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DNUT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DNUT Butterfly Map → + Track DNUT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DNUT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DNUT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DNUT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DNUT)

Consumer Staples Rank #126 of 146 ⚔️ VLGEA vs DNUT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (DNUT vs. VLGEA, NGVC, ARKO, GO)

Industry: Food Chains (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) ranks #126 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #83 by equity capitalization ($555.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VLGEA leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while NGVC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. VLGEA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with DNUT at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DNUT ACTIVE Krispy Kreme Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-24.4%	+4.92%	$555.2M	Benchmark Subject
VLGEA Village Super Market Inc. (Class A)	C+	68/100	11.2x	28.6%	14.0%	-1.43%	$630.7M	/vlgea-vs-dnut →
NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.	D+	58/100	14.1x	29.9%	24.9%	-5.44%	$656.4M	/ngvc-vs-dnut →
ARKO ARKO Corp.	C	64/100	18.6x	—	9.6%	+2.44%	$424.1M	/arko-vs-dnut →
GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.	D+	55/100	—	30.3%	-12.6%	+2.47%	$1.28B	/go-vs-dnut →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001857154

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.52B (-8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.67B , and -9.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$523.8M, operating cash flow of $33.9M, and free cash flow of -$64.0M (+14.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DNUT closed FY2025 with $2.59B in total assets against $911.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$1.52B	-$523.8M	$33.9M	-$64.0M	$2.59B	$911.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$1.67B	$3.8M	$45.8M	-$75.0M	$3.07B	$844.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.69B	-$36.6M	$45.5M	$45.5M	—	—

3. DNUT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DNUT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Krispy Kreme Inc. (NASDAQ: DNUT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.20 (+4.92% 1D, market cap $555.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, DNUT ranks #126 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DNUT compare to VLGEA and NGVC in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), DNUT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.4%. By comparison, VLGEA (Village Super Market Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $630.7M) and NGVC (Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 24.9%, cap $656.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VLGEA leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNUT?

Per DNUT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001857154), Krispy Kreme Inc. generated $1.52B in revenue (-8.6% YoY), -$523.8M in net income, and -$64.0M in free cash flow against $2.59B in total assets and $911.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DNUT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DNUT last traded at $3.20 (+4.92% on volume of 3,695,304 shares), positioning the stock +2.56% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.12) and -4.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.34). Across its 52-week range of $2.81 to $4.75, DNUT sits at the 20.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($2.93 to $3.47).

DNUT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DNUT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Krispy Kreme Inc. (DNUT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is DNUT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.5% event move for DNUT, spanning a range between $2.93 and $3.47.

Direct Sub-Reports: DNUT RQD Cockpit DNUT 12M Forecast DNUT Earnings & Move DNUT Dividends & DRIP DNUT Insiders & 13F DNUT Whale Options DNUT Profit Sankey DNUT News & Why