MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why DNOW Stock advanced +0.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$16.66 +0.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.66
DNOW Inc. (DNOW) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.01B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.66 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 4.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DNOW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DNOW SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 91% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.4% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$15.57+0.7% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$15.68+0.1% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$15.69+6.2% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$16.66-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DNOW Turnaround Squeeze
While DNOW currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.80) and Max Pain ($17.49) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.95.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DNOW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DNOW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DNOW Stock advanced +0.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
DNOW Inc. (DNOW) advanced +0.97% to $16.66, trading at 91% of its 52-week range ($10.94 – $17.26). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 91% of its 52-week range ($10.94 – $17.26) with RSI-14 at 55.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.4% around $16.66 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 17% gross margin and $134.0M annual free cash flow.
Live DNOW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DNOW)
- ✓Walkthrough of DNOW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DNOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.50%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $16.43H $16.75L $16.17C $16.66VOL 1.22M
RES: $16.43SUP: $14.54SMA50: $15.80SMA200: $14.09
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DNOW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +18.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DNOW today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DNOW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DNOW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DNOW)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #633 of 1011
⚔️ INVX vs DNOW Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DNOW vs. INVX, FLOC, WHD, SEI)
Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (17 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DNOW Inc. (DNOW) ranks #633 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #361 by equity capitalization ($3.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INVX leads on earnings valuation at 25.2x trailing P/E, while FLOC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.0% ROIC and — gross margin. INVX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with DNOW at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNOW
ACTIVE
DNOW Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | 17.0% | -3.6% | +0.97% | $3.01B | Benchmark Subject |
| INVX Innovex International Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 25.2x | 31.0% | 9.9% | -1.22% | $2.10B | /invx-vs-dnow → |
| FLOC Flowco Holdings Inc. (Class A) | B | 73/100 | 43.8x | — | 30.0% | -1.47% | $1.81B | /floc-vs-dnow → |
| WHD Cactus Inc. | B | 74/100 | 31.6x | 37.0% | 15.4% | +1.79% | $5.25B | /whd-vs-dnow → |
| SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | 25.3% | +0.22% | $5.29B | /sei-vs-dnow → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001599617In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DNOW Inc. (DNOW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.82B (+18.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.37B , and +21.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$89, operating cash flow of $155.0M, and free cash flow of $134.0M (-53.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DNOW closed FY2025 with $3.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.81, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.82B | -$89 | $155.0M | $134.0M | $3.92B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.37B | $78 | $298.0M | $289.0M | $1.62B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.32B | $250 | $188.0M | $188.0M | — | — |
3. DNOW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DNOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, DNOW Inc. (NYSE: DNOW) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $16.66 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $3.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DNOW ranks #633 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DNOW compare to INVX and FLOC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), DNOW carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of -3.6%. By comparison, INVX (Innovex International Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 25.2x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.10B) and FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 43.8x, ROIC 30.0%, cap $1.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INVX leads on earnings multiple (25.2x) while FLOC leads on capital efficiency (30.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNOW?
Per DNOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001599617), DNOW Inc. generated $2.82B in revenue (+18.8% YoY), -$89 in net income, and $134.0M in free cash flow against $3.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DNOW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DNOW last traded at $16.66 (+0.97% on volume of 2,396,546 shares), positioning the stock +5.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.80) and +18.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.09). Across its 52-week range of $10.94 to $17.26, DNOW sits at the 90.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($15.43 to $17.89).
DNOW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DNOW stock moving today?
Why DNOW Stock advanced +0.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.