Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DNOW / forecast

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DNOW Inc. (DNOW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$16.66 +0.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.66

DNOW Inc. (DNOW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.01B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DNOW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DNOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, DNOW Inc. (NYSE: DNOW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $16.66 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $3.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DNOW ranks #518 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DNOW compare to INVX and FLOC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), DNOW carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of -3.6%. By comparison, INVX (Innovex International Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 25.2x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.10B) and FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 43.8x, ROIC 30.0%, cap $1.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INVX leads on earnings multiple (25.2x) while FLOC leads on capital efficiency (30.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNOW?

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Per DNOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001599617), DNOW Inc. generated $2.82B in revenue (+18.8% YoY), -$89 in net income, and $134.0M in free cash flow against $3.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.66 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 4.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DNOW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DNOW SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (19% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 91% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$15.18+6.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$16.21-2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$15.89+4.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$16.66-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DNOW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DNOW currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.82) and Max Pain ($17.49) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DNOW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DNOW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your DNOW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $16.66: 600.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $12.64

$7,587

$-2,413 (-24.1%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $16.21

$9,730

$-270 (-2.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $19.13

$11,483

+$1,483 (+14.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$17	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$18	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$14	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DNOW)

✓Walkthrough of DNOW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DNOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.14%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-02O $16.50H $16.66L $16.50C $16.66VOL 2.40M

RES: $16.43SUP: $14.52SMA50: $15.82SMA200: $14.10

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DNOW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DNOW Butterfly Map → + Track DNOW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DNOW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DNOW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DNOW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DNOW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #518 of 1011 ⚔️ INVX vs DNOW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DNOW vs. INVX, FLOC, WHD, SEI)

Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DNOW Inc. (DNOW) ranks #518 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #361 by equity capitalization ($3.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INVX leads on earnings valuation at 25.2x trailing P/E, while FLOC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.0% ROIC and — gross margin. INVX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with DNOW at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DNOW ACTIVE DNOW Inc.	D+	52/100	—	17.0%	-3.6%	+0.97%	$3.01B	Benchmark Subject
INVX Innovex International Inc.	B+	78/100	25.2x	31.0%	9.9%	-1.22%	$2.10B	/invx-vs-dnow →
FLOC Flowco Holdings Inc. (Class A)	B	74/100	43.8x	—	30.0%	-1.47%	$1.81B	/floc-vs-dnow →
WHD Cactus Inc.	B	74/100	31.6x	37.0%	15.4%	+1.79%	$5.25B	/whd-vs-dnow →
SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	25.3%	+0.22%	$5.29B	/sei-vs-dnow →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001599617

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DNOW Inc. (DNOW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.82B (+18.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.37B , and +21.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$89, operating cash flow of $155.0M, and free cash flow of $134.0M (-53.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DNOW closed FY2025 with $3.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.81, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.82B	-$89	$155.0M	$134.0M	$3.92B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.37B	$78	$298.0M	$289.0M	$1.62B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.32B	$250	$188.0M	$188.0M	—	—

3. DNOW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DNOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DNOW compare to INVX and FLOC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNOW?

Where is DNOW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DNOW last traded at $16.66 (+0.97% on volume of 2,396,546 shares), positioning the stock +5.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.82) and +18.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.10). Across its 52-week range of $10.94 to $17.26, DNOW sits at the 90.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($15.48 to $17.84).

DNOW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is DNOW's 12-month stock price target?

DNOW Inc. (DNOW) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $16.21 (-2.7% from $16.66), with a bull-case target of $19.13 and a bear-case floor of $12.64.

Is DNOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates DNOW D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 52/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: DNOW RQD Cockpit DNOW 12M Forecast DNOW Earnings & Move DNOW Dividends & DRIP DNOW Insiders & 13F DNOW Whale Options DNOW Profit Sankey DNOW News & Why