Stock Ratings / Technology / DMRC / earnings

MOVE (31) FIRY (43) KDK (49) ASUR (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Digimarc Corporation (DMRC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$8.77 +1.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.78

Digimarc Corporation (DMRC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $237.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DMRC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DMRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Digimarc Corporation (NASDAQ: DMRC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $8.77 (+1.62% 1D, market cap $237.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DMRC ranks #283 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DMRC compare to MOVE and FIRY in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), DMRC carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MOVE (Corvex Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.8M) and FIRY (Firy Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $223.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DMRC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASUR leads on capital efficiency (-2.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DMRC?

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Per DMRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002119322), Digimarc Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $53.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.78 (+0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DMRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DMRC SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 35% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 75.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$6.25+6.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$6.68+8.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$7.27+20.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$8.77+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DMRC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, DMRC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.12) or 200D SMA ($7.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($8.77) toward Bear Floor ($6.84).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DMRC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DMRC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.10 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DMRC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$0	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DMRC)

✓Walkthrough of DMRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DMRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.65%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $8.56H $9.08L $8.41C $8.77VOL 238.2K

RES: $6.31SUP: $3.76SMA50: $6.12SMA200: $7.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DMRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DMRC Butterfly Map → + Track DMRC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DMRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DMRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DMRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DMRC)

Technology Rank #283 of 714 ⚔️ MOVE vs DMRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DMRC vs. MOVE, FIRY, KDK, ASUR)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Digimarc Corporation (DMRC) ranks #283 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #463 by equity capitalization ($237.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DMRC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ASUR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -2.8% ROIC and 67.5% gross margin. DMRC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DMRC ACTIVE Digimarc Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+1.62%	$237.2M	Benchmark Subject
MOVE Corvex Inc.	E	31/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-1.23%	$227.8M	/move-vs-dmrc →
FIRY Firy Inc. (Class A)	D-	43/100	—	87.5%	-35.0%	+9.19%	$223.1M	/firy-vs-dmrc →
KDK Kodiak AI Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-2.29%	$256.8M	/kdk-vs-dmrc →
ASUR Asure Software Inc	D	50/100	—	67.5%	-2.8%	0.00%	$217.5M	/asur-vs-dmrc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002119322

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Digimarc Corporation (DMRC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, DMRC closed FY2025 with $53.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$53.0M	—

3. DMRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DMRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DMRC compare to MOVE and FIRY in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DMRC?

Where is DMRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DMRC last traded at $8.77 (+1.62% on volume of 151,997 shares), positioning the stock +43.30% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.12) and +23.87% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.08). Across its 52-week range of $4.07 to $17.47, DMRC sits at the 35.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 75.6 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.67 to $9.87).