DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$9.52 -3.05% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.45

DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $513.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DMAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: DMAC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $9.52 (-3.05% 1D, market cap $513.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, DMAC ranks #437 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DMAC compare to INDP and ARVN in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), DMAC carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, INDP (Indaptus Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $513.0M) and ARVN (Arvinas Inc.) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.1%, cap $516.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DMAC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ARVN leads on capital efficiency (-32.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DMAC?
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Per DMAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001401040), DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$32.8M in net income, and -$29.1M in free cash flow against $61.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.45 (-0.74%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510044
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (15)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$11 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE DMAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DMAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY DMAC SCORES 44/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$8.20-4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$7.87+11.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$8.74+8.9% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$9.52-6.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (36) β†’ D (44)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DMAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While DMAC currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.67) and Max Pain ($10.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.94.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DMACβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œDMAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DMAC)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DMAC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DMAC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of DMAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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DMAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +57.36%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $9.82H $9.82L $9.52C $9.52VOL 196.5K
RES: $10.19SUP: $7.00SMA50: $7.67SMA200: $7.11
$10.47$9.05$7.64$6.22$4.80RES $10.19SUP $7.00$9.522026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DMAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DMAC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DMAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DMAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DMAC)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (DMAC vs. INDP, ARVN, OCS, AQST)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) ranks #437 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #445 by equity capitalization ($513.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DMAC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ARVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -32.1% ROIC and β€” gross margin. OCS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with DMAC at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DMAC ACTIVE
DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.
D 44/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.05% $513.4M Benchmark Subject
INDP
Indaptus Therapeutics Inc.
D 44/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +0.30% $513.0M /indp-vs-dmac β†’
ARVN
Arvinas Inc.
E 23/100 β€” β€” -32.1% +3.95% $516.6M /arvn-vs-dmac β†’
OCS
Oculis Holding AG
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” +3.26% $507.5M /ocs-vs-dmac β†’
AQST
Aquestive Therapeutics Inc.
E 18/100 β€” 58.3% -35.0% -4.49% $507.1M /aqst-vs-dmac β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001401040

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$32.8M, operating cash flow of -$29.1M, and free cash flow of -$29.1M (-31.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DMAC closed FY2025 with $61.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$32.8M -$29.1M -$29.1M $61.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$24.4M -$22.1M -$22.1M $46.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$19.4M -$18.7M -$18.7M β€” β€”

3. DMAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DMAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: DMAC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $9.52 (-3.05% 1D, market cap $513.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, DMAC ranks #437 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DMAC compare to INDP and ARVN in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), DMAC carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, INDP (Indaptus Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $513.0M) and ARVN (Arvinas Inc.) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.1%, cap $516.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DMAC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ARVN leads on capital efficiency (-32.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DMAC?

Per DMAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001401040), DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$32.8M in net income, and -$29.1M in free cash flow against $61.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DMAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DMAC last traded at $9.52 (-3.05% on volume of 196,521 shares), positioning the stock +24.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.67) and +33.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.11). Across its 52-week range of $5.24 to $10.42, DMAC sits at the 82.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($8.33 to $10.71).

DMAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is DMAC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for DMAC.

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