MARKET WIREReuters • 51m ago
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Why DLHC Stock slipped -0.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$3.66 -0.54% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.65
DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $53.0M
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Is DLHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, DLH Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: DLHC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $3.66 (-0.54% 1D, market cap $53.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DLHC ranks #738 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does DLHC compare to CTM and BGSF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), DLHC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $47.9M) and BGSF (BGSF Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.2%, cap $45.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DLHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DLHC?
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Per DLHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000785557), DLH Holdings Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $23.2M in free cash flow against $283.5M in total assets and $116.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.65 (-0.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DLHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DLHC SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (30% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.6% FCF Margin ($23.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$4.22-10.4% Next Q
48
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$3.78-4.5% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$3.61+1.4% Next Q
43
CurrentGrade D-$3.66-7.4% Hist 90D α
40
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DLHC Turnaround Squeeze
While DLHC currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.96) and Max Pain ($3.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.51.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DLHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DLHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DLHC Stock slipped -0.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) slipped -0.54% to $3.66, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($3.38 – $8.1). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($3.38 – $8.1) with RSI-14 at 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $3.66 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $23.2M annual free cash flow.
Live DLHC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DLHC)
- ✓Walkthrough of DLHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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DLHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.34%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $3.68H $3.68L $3.66C $3.66VOL 16.6K
RES: $5.24SUP: $2.69SMA50: $3.96SMA200: $5.16
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DLHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DLHC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DLHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DLHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DLHC)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #738 of 1011
⚔️ CTM vs DLHC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DLHC vs. CTM, BGSF, MHH, TTEC)
Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) ranks #738 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #811 by equity capitalization ($53.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DLHC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DLHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and — gross margin. MHH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with DLHC at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLHC
ACTIVE
DLH Holdings Corp. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | 5.8% | -0.54% | $53.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| CTM Castellum Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 36.6% | -6.2% | -4.32% | $47.9M | /ctm-vs-dlhc → |
| BGSF BGSF Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 35.7% | -24.2% | +0.94% | $45.8M | /bgsf-vs-dlhc → |
| MHH Mastech Digital Inc | D+ | 53/100 | — | 27.7% | 0.0% | -0.47% | $76.0M | /mhh-vs-dlhc → |
| TTEC TTEC Holdings Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +7.53% | $77.4M | /ttec-vs-dlhc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000785557In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $23.2M, and free cash flow of $23.2M (-15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DLHC closed FY2025 with $283.5M in total assets against $116.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $0 | $0 | $23.2M | $23.2M | $283.5M | $116.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $0 | $0 | $27.4M | $27.4M | $325.0M | $134.6M |
3. DLHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DLHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, DLH Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: DLHC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $3.66 (-0.54% 1D, market cap $53.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DLHC ranks #738 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DLHC compare to CTM and BGSF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), DLHC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $47.9M) and BGSF (BGSF Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.2%, cap $45.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DLHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DLHC?
Per DLHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000785557), DLH Holdings Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $23.2M in free cash flow against $283.5M in total assets and $116.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DLHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DLHC last traded at $3.66 (-0.54% on volume of 16,589 shares), positioning the stock -7.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.96) and -29.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.16). Across its 52-week range of $3.38 to $8.10, DLHC sits at the 5.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($3.37 to $3.95).
DLHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DLHC stock moving today?
Why DLHC Stock slipped -0.54% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.