Why DFLI Stock surged +3.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
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Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.32 (+3.11% 1D, market cap $4.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #423 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does DFLI compare to XPON and RETO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.1M) and RETO (ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UCAR leads on capital efficiency (-18.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?
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Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 14.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DFLI Turnaround Squeeze
While DFLI currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.01) and Max Pain ($2.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $99.96.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why DFLI Stock surged +3.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) surged +3.11% to $2.32, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.83 – $95.2). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.83 – $95.2) with RSI-14 at 14.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.32 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 26.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DFLI)
- ✓Walkthrough of DFLI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
DFLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +15.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DFLI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DFLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DFLI)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DFLI vs. XPON, RETO, UCAR, BURU)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) ranks #423 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #464 by equity capitalization ($4.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFLI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while UCAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.5% ROIC and 36.3% gross margin. XPON currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with DFLI at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFLI
ACTIVE
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) | E | 34/100 | — | 26.7% | -35.0% | +3.11% | $4.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| XPON Expion Energy Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | 13.9% | -35.0% | +5.20% | $4.1M | /xpon-vs-dfli → |
| RETO ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A) | E | 29/100 | — | 35.3% | -35.0% | -21.03% | $4.7M | /reto-vs-dfli → |
| UCAR U Power Limited (Class A) | E | 23/100 | — | 36.3% | -18.5% | -5.00% | $5.1M | /ucar-vs-dfli → |
| BURU Nuburu Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +115.98% | $3.4M | /buru-vs-dfli → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847986In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) reported GAAP revenue of $58.6M (+15.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.6M , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$69.9M, operating cash flow of -$26.0M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-182.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DFLI closed FY2025 with $86.5M in total assets against $9.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $58.6M | -$69.9M | -$26.0M | -$27.9M | $86.5M | $9.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $50.6M | -$40.6M | -$7.2M | -$9.9M | $75.2M | $29.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $64.4M | -$13.8M | -$17.7M | -$17.7M | — | — |
3. DFLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.32 (+3.11% 1D, market cap $4.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #423 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DFLI compare to XPON and RETO in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.1M) and RETO (ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UCAR leads on capital efficiency (-18.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?
Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DFLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DFLI last traded at $2.32 (+3.11% on volume of 99,645 shares), positioning the stock -61.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.01) and -83.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.16). Across its 52-week range of $1.83 to $95.20, DFLI sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 14.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.03 to $2.61).
DFLI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DFLI stock moving today?
Why DFLI Stock surged +3.11% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.