Stock Ratings / Industrials / DFLI / forecast

XPON (50) RETO (29) UCAR (23) BURU (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.32 (+3.11% 1D, market cap $4.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #423 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does DFLI compare to XPON and RETO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.1M) and RETO (ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UCAR leads on capital efficiency (-18.5% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?

Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is DFLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DFLI last traded at $2.32 (+3.11% on volume of 99,645 shares), positioning the stock -61.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.01) and -83.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.16). Across its 52-week range of $1.83 to $95.20, DFLI sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 14.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.03 to $2.61).

Q: What is DFLI's 12-month stock price target?

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.07 (-10.8% from $2.32), with a bull-case target of $99.96 and a bear-case floor of $1.61.

Q: Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates DFLI E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 34/100.

$2.32 +3.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.33

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $4.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.33 (+0.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DFLI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DFLI SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 14.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$3.78-26.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.77-13.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.40-3.3% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.32-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DFLI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DFLI currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.01) and Max Pain ($2.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $99.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DFLI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DFLI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your DFLI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.32: 4310.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.61

$6,940

$-3,060 (-30.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.07

$8,922

$-1,078 (-10.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $99.96

$430,862

+$420,862 (+4208.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$94	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DFLI)

✓Walkthrough of DFLI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DFLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -85.57%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $2.31H $2.32L $1.83C $2.32VOL 96.7K

RES: $4.28SUP: $1.72SMA50: $6.01SMA200: $14.16

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DFLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DFLI Butterfly Map → + Track DFLI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DFLI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DFLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DFLI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DFLI)

Industrials Rank #423 of 485 ⚔️ XPON vs DFLI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DFLI vs. XPON, RETO, UCAR, BURU)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) ranks #423 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #464 by equity capitalization ($4.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFLI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while UCAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.5% ROIC and 36.3% gross margin. XPON currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with DFLI at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DFLI ACTIVE Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV)	E	34/100	—	26.7%	-35.0%	+3.11%	$4.3M	Benchmark Subject
XPON Expion Energy Inc.	D	50/100	—	13.9%	-35.0%	+5.20%	$4.1M	/xpon-vs-dfli →
RETO ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)	E	29/100	—	35.3%	-35.0%	-21.03%	$4.7M	/reto-vs-dfli →
UCAR U Power Limited (Class A)	E	23/100	—	36.3%	-18.5%	-5.00%	$5.1M	/ucar-vs-dfli →
BURU Nuburu Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-35.0%	+115.98%	$3.4M	/buru-vs-dfli →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847986

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) reported GAAP revenue of $58.6M (+15.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.6M , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$69.9M, operating cash flow of -$26.0M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-182.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DFLI closed FY2025 with $86.5M in total assets against $9.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$58.6M	-$69.9M	-$26.0M	-$27.9M	$86.5M	$9.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$50.6M	-$40.6M	-$7.2M	-$9.9M	$75.2M	$29.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$64.4M	-$13.8M	-$17.7M	-$17.7M	—	—

3. DFLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.32 (+3.11% 1D, market cap $4.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #423 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DFLI compare to XPON and RETO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.1M) and RETO (ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UCAR leads on capital efficiency (-18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?

Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DFLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DFLI last traded at $2.32 (+3.11% on volume of 99,645 shares), positioning the stock -61.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.01) and -83.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.16). Across its 52-week range of $1.83 to $95.20, DFLI sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 14.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.03 to $2.61).

DFLI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is DFLI's 12-month stock price target?

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.07 (-10.8% from $2.32), with a bull-case target of $99.96 and a bear-case floor of $1.61.